Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB Picks 8/3/24

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Pittsburgh Pirates (55-53) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (58-51)

August 3, 2024 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -120 / Arizona Diamondbacks +110 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 3rd, at PNC Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Diamondbacks recent form and recent player performance 

-The Pirates recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Arizona

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Pittsburgh

-Recent betting trends in games played between Arizona and Pittsburgh

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Diamondbacks and Pirates.

Diamondbacks Hold On

The Diamondbacks held on Friday against the Pirates. They got out to a 5-0 lead, but they only ended up by a run. The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.12 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.771 runs per game. The offense is ranked 2nd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 24th. They have a run differential of 0.14 which is 10th in the league. Ketel Marte has hit 25 home runs and driven in 73 RBIs. Getting the start for the Diamondbacks will be Jordan Montgomery, who sits with a 7-5 record and an ERA of 6.51. In his last start against the Washington Nationals he went four innings giving up nine hits and six runs. 

Pirates Fell Short

The Pirates scored eight runs on Friday, but it wasn’t enough, as the pitching gave up eight runs on the way to the defeat. Luis Ortiz Jr went 5.1 innings, giving up six hits and six runs. Oneil Cruz finished with five hits and two runs. The Pirates are averaging 4.18 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.22 runs per game. The offense is ranked 22nd, while the pitching is ranked 12th. They have a negative run differential of -0.04 which is 17th. Bryan Reynolds has hit 18 home runs and driven in 61 RBIs. Getting the start for the Pirates will be Mitch Keller, who sits with a 10-5 record and an ERA of 3.30. In his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks he went seven innings giving up two hits and two runs. 

Why the Pirates Will Beat the Diamondbacks

  • The Pirates have won each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost three of their last four road games against the Pirates following a road win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 

The Pirates might have struggled on Friday, but they are going to bounce back in a big way here. Keller has been good this season, but Montgomery has had his issues this season. In his last start, he gave up six runs, and he’s going to really struggle here. The Pirates are going to tee off on him here, and this game is going to get out of hand early. Back the Pirates on the money line to cash here. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Pirates ML

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