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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 6/22/24
Pick details
Philadelphia Phillies (49-25) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (37-38)
June 22, 2024 at 04:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -256 / Arizona Diamondbacks +210 — Over/Under: 9.5
The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Arizona Diamondbacks will send out Tommy Henry for the start here and Henry is 2-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. In his career, Henry is 1-1 with an 8.79 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Philadelphia. The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Zack Wheeler for the start here and Wheeler is 8-4 with a 2.84 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Diamondbacks, Wheeler is 3-2 with a 3.13 ERA and 32 strikeouts.
Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this one looking to build on their series-opening 5-4 win over the Phillies from Friday’s matchup. The win was exactly what the doctor ordered for Arizona to keep their momentum going after series wins over the Nationals, White Sox and Angels over the last week and a half.
Diamondbacks Rolling Offensively
Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 81 hits in addition to a .280 batting average and 16 doubles with 15 home runs and 42 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 10 home runs and 43 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 14 stolen bases while Eugenio Suarez has 83 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 17 home runs with a team-high 50 RBIs of his own in addition to a team-high 84 strikeouts this season.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Phillies following a road win.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies will try to bounce back after starting the series on a low note with their loss to the Diamondbacks in Friday’s matchup. The loss wasn’t ideal as the Phillies look to build on their series win over the Padres to start the week.
Phillies Struggling To Find Their Footing
Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with 85 hits including 26 doubles, a .301 batting average and a team-high 60 RBIs while Bryce Harper has 17 home runs with 48 RBIs and Bryson Stott has a team-high 18 stolen bases. Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 17 home runs, 48 RBIs and a team-high 94 strikeouts as well this season. Johan Rojas also has 14 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine Saturday games against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last 10 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six Saturday games against NL West opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’m on the over here. I think this is a tough spot for Tommy Henry to make a return to the Diamondbacks rotation, as the Phillies have been hitting left-handed pitching well in the last couple of weeks. On the other side, Zack Wheeler is arguably Philly’s best starter, but the Diamondbacks have been really good against righties in the last couple of weeks, and I think once the bullpens have their say, we have a high-scoring matchup ahead here. Give me the over.