Pick details
| MATCHUP | Arizona Diamondbacks | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Wednesday, April 8, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Arizona Diamondbacks and the New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Arizona Diamondbacks will send out Ryne Nelson for the start here and Nelson is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nelson is 0-3 with an 8.50 ERA and 10 strikeouts against the Mets. The New York Mets will send out David Peterson for the start here and Peterson is 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Arizona, Peterson is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to bounce back from their 4-3 loss at the hands of the Mets on Tuesday to sit at 5-6 this season. After this series, the Diamondbacks will head on the road for a game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Diamondbacks Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped
Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with 11 hits including a double, 2 triples, 2 home runs and a team-high 9 RBIs while Alek Thomas has logged 3 doubles with 4 RBIs as well this season. Ketel Marte has 9 hits with 2 doubles, a home run and 3 RBIs and Geraldo Perdomo has 6 hits, with 2 doubles, a home run and 3 RBIs as well this season. Gabriel Moreno also has 9 hits with 23 doubles and Jose Fernandez has 2 home runs and 4 RBIs this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 win over the Diamondbacks from Tuesday’s series opener to sit at 7-4 this season. After this series, the Mets will take on the Athletics in an interleague series at home.
Mets Win 4 Straight
Luis Robert Jr. has 10 hits including a home run and 6 RBIs while Juan Soto has a team-high 11 hits with 2 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs. Brett Baty has 9 hits with 2 doubles, a triple and 5 RBIs while Francisco Lindor has 7 hits with a double and a pair of triples as well. Marcus Semien also has 9 hits with 2 doubles, a home run and 6 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 10 hits with 2 doubles and 6 RBIs as well this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ New York Mets Betting Trends: April 8, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: David Peterson Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 4.66
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 1-1
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven road games.
- The Mets have won each of their last four games.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday day games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Mets have won the first inning in five of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 5.79
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Mets: 0-3
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last three games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight Wednesday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last 12 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six day games against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit two home runs in each of his last two appearances with the Mets as favorites against the Diamondbacks.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL opponents.
- Carson Benge ranks T5th in the league in Steals (4) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- James McCann has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Citi Field.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (3).
- The Mets rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (2.54).
- The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.274).
- The Diamondbacks rank T1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (79).
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Prediction
I’m on the over in this game. I think this is going to be a high-scoring matchup between two starters I don’t trust right now as Nelson has been less effective on the road over the years and the Diamondbacks have hit lefties well, which isn’t welcome news for Peterson here. I think this ends up being high-scoring so give me the over here.
Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 7.5
