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Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction 06/29/2025 Picks
Pick details
Miami (36-45) vs Arizona (41-41)
June 29, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona -190 / Miami +160 — Over/Under: +9
The Miami Marlins are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday, June 29th at the Chase Field in the third game of this series, with the Marlins having the 2-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:
The Arizona Diamondbacks recent form and player performance
The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends in games played between the Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks game
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 41-41 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 20-20 home record and are 41-36 in over/under They are coming off a 7-8 home defeat by the Marlins, and have three straight losses. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games and are playing the Giants and the Royals next.
The Diamondbacks have a .255 batting average this season, .331 OBP and .448 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.77 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Josh Naylor leads the Diamondbacks with 89 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 67, and in home runs with 25.
Eduardo Rodriguez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 3-4 record, 5.40 ERA and 1.58 WHIP.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 36-45 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Marlins have a 19-21 road record and are 41-39 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-7 road victory over the Dbacks, and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games and are playing the Brewers and the Twins next.
The Marlins have a .255 batting average this season, .317 OBP and .392 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 75 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average. Kyle Stowers adds team-highs in RBI with 40 and in home runs with 13.
Cal Quantrill (R) will take the mound for the Marlins, and he has a 3-7 record, 5.56 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
The Diamondbacks have won 14 of their last 16 day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
The Marlins have lost four of their last five games after going to extra innings.
The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games at Chase Field following an extra innings loss.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 16 of their last 21 day games against NL West opponents following a win.
The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against the Marlins.
The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games at Chase Field against NL East opponents.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
The Marlins have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs.
The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
The road team has covered the run line in each of the last 13 games between the Marlins and Diamondbacks.
The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three road day games.
Total Runs Facts
Thirteen of the Diamondbacks’ last 14 games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Marlins’ last four games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five day games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (148).
The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.448).
The Marlins rank T26th in the league for home runs this season (72).
The Marlins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.90).
Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
The Dbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Marlins, but the Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 visits in Arizona. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.Â
In this Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -190 home favorites. The Diamondbacks have a better overall record, but both teams have similar home/away splits. Both starting pitchers have been terrible this season, with a combined 10.96 ERA. The Dbacks have the 4th-worst bullpen in the league, and the third-best offense, with 5.2 runs per game. The first two games of this series had 17 and 15 total runs, and I expect another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 9 runs.