Apr 17, 2025; Miami, Florida, USA;  Arizona Diamondbacks right fielder Corbin Carroll (7) scores a run as Miami Marlins catcher Rob Brantly (19) looks on at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-Imagn Images

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction 06/27/2025 Picks

Pick details

Miami (34-45) vs Arizona (41-39)

June 27, 2025 at 09:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona -170 / Miami +145 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday, June 27th at the Chase Field in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:
The Arizona Diamondbacks recent form and player performance
The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends in games played between the Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks game

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 41-39 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 20-18 home record and are 39-36 in over/under They are coming off a 3-7 road defeat by the White Sox, but they still are 5-2 in their last 7 games. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games and are playing the Giants and the Royals next.

The Diamondbacks have a .255 batting average this season, .331 OBP and .448 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Josh Naylor leads the Diamondbacks with 89 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .307 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 67, and in home runs with 25.

Merrill Kelly (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 7-3 record, 3.39 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 34-45 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL East. The Marlins have a 17-21 road record and are 39-39 in over/under. They are coming off a 12-5 road victory over the Giants, and are 5-1 in their last 6 games. Under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 games and are playing the Brewers and the Twins next.

The Marlins have a .254 batting average this season, .317 OBP and .387 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.85 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.  Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 73 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Kyle Stowers adds team-highs in RBI with 38 and in home runs with 12.

Eury Perez (R) will take the mound for the Marlins, and he has a 0-2 record, 6.17 ERA and 1.63 WHIP.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six games against the Marlins.
The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL West opponents following a road win.
The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against the Marlins.
The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

The Marlins have won each of their last five games as road underdogs.
The Diamondbacks have lost five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
The road team has covered the run line in each of the last 11 games between the Marlins and Diamondbacks.
The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against teams that held a losing record.
The Marlins have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight road night games.
The Marlins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the last six games between the Marlins and Diamondbacks at Chase Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Eight of the Marlins’ last 10 road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven night games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Marlins’ last six night games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (145).
The Diamondbacks rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (17).
The Marlins rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (68).
The Marlins rank 27th in the league for runs allowed this season (408).

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

The Dbacks have won their last six meetings against the Marlins, including a 3-0 series sweep this season in Miami, with a combined 22-10 score. But the Marlins are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Arizona, and over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.  
In this Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -170 home favorites. The Diamondbacks have a better overall record, and have been slightly above average at home, while the Marlins have been weak on the road. The Dbacks also had the day-off yesterday, while the Marlins had to travel in Arizona. The Dbacks have the pitching advantage and a superior offense, being even better against righties, so I expect them to be winning this game at the end of the first 5 innings.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks F5 ML

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