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Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 6/7/25 MLB Picks

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New York Yankees (39-23) vs Boston Red Sox (30-35)

June 7, 2025 at 07:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -112 / Boston Red Sox -108 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 7th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 30-35 this season after they lost game one in this series by a score of 9-6. Boston allowed the first seven runs in the game, and they were able to score a few runs in the sixth/seventh inning, but didn’t really have a chance to come back. The Red Sox recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Devers and Gonzalez, who both had two RBIs in the win. Boston started Buehler, who allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 2.0 innings for the loss, while Bernardino and Criswell both allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Angels, but did win two out of three against the Braves before that. Boston has lost nine of their last twelve games, and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 309 runs with a .253 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Rafael Devers has led Boston with 13 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added 13 home runs and 32 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 5-4 with a 1.98 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 82.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 39-23 this year after they won game one on Friday night by a score of 9-6. New York scored five runs in the first inning, and they never looked back in game one. The Yankees recorded 14 hits in the game, and they were led by Chisholm Jr., who went 3-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. New York started Warren, who allowed three hits and four earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Williams picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees won two out of three against the Guardians, but did lose two out of three against the Dodgers before that. New York has won four of their last five games, and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .215 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 335 runs with a .259 batting average and a .344 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 21 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Trent Grisham has added 13 home runs and 26 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Ryan Yarbrough, who is 3-0 with a 2.83 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Red Sox 

  • The Yankees have won 10 of their last 11 games against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have lost eight of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Red Sox at Yankee Stadium.

Why the Red Sox will beat the Yankees 

  • The Red Sox have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have lost 15 of their last 22 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Yankees following a loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 14 games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eleven of the Yankees’ last 12 games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Red Sox’s last four road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four road games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Yankees’ last 14 home games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Judge has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last six home games against AL East opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 19 games as home favorites against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games against AL opponents.
  • Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last six Saturday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Single in 15 of his last 16 Saturday night appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.

Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction 

New York was able to get the win in game one of this series on Friday night, as Boston continues their free fall in the AL East standings. The Yankees are 21-10 at home this season, while the Red Sox are 13-19 on the road. Boston has allowed at least seven runs in three of their last four games, and they are starting Crochet, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. New York is going with Yarbrough, who has allowed exactly one earned run in each of his last three outings. Both of these pitchers are dealing right now, so I like the under here. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 8.5

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