Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 5/30/25 MLB Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Milwaukee Brewers will send out DL Hall here for the start, and Hall is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 1 strikeout this season. This will be Hall’s first career start against Philadelphia. The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Taijuan Walker for the start here, and Walker is 2-3 with a 2.97 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. In his career, Walker is 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts against the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their 6-5 win over the Boston Red Sox last time out to improve to 29-28 on the year. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Brewers Win Four In A Row

Brice Turang has 55 hits with 4 home runs, 22 RBIs, and 14 stolen bases, while Jackson Chourio has 58 hits with a team-high 16 doubles, 8 home runs, and 29 RBIs, and Sal Frelick has 55 hits as well as 3 triples and 10 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 10 stolen bases with 10 homers and 34 RBIs while also adding 5 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 61 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 5 homers and 24 RBIs as well this season. Rhys Hoskins has added 48 hits with 7 home runs, 29 RBIs, and 9 doubles.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last nine road games following an extra-innings win.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Brewers following a home loss.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last four home games against teams that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has recorded at least one Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded two or more hits in each of the Brewers’ last five road games against NL East opponents.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded an RBI in each of the Brewers’ last three games as underdogs.
• William Contreras has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last four road games against NL East opponents.
• William Contreras has recorded a Single in each of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Brice Turang ranks T10th in the league in Steals (14) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from their 9-3 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Braves last time out, slipping to 36-20 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for an interleague series against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Phillies Win 8 Of Their Last 10 Games

Nick Castellanos has 62 hits with 14 doubles, including 4 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 51 hits with a team-high 19 home runs and 41 RBIs as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 8 home runs, and 33 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 67 hits with a team-high 14 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 12 doubles and Bryson Stott has 6 doubles, 2 triples, 4 homers, and 24 RBIs, while Stott also has 11 stolen bases this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last 15 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Max Kepler has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (19) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Brewers and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Brewers’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m on the Phillies here. I originally liked the matchup for the Phils before DL Hall was put in for Milwaukee, but in what’s a pseudo-bullpen game for the Brewers, I think Philadelphia gets back on track here. Walker’s numbers this season have been better at home, and I think he finds a way to lead the Phillies behind the bats to get the win here.