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Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5/18/25 MLB Picks
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Baltimore Orioles (15-29) vs Washington Nationals (20-27)
May 18, 2025 at 01:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -175 / Washington Nationals +145 — Over/Under: 9.5
The Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles meet Sunday in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This article will include a Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Pick.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 20-27 on the year and play the Braves, Giants, and Mariners next. The Washington Nationals are batting .238 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and a .379 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. James Wood leads the Washington Nationals with 49 hits and 28 RBI, while Keibert Ruiz and CJ Abrams have combined for 84 hits and 32 RBI.Â
Michael Soroka gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. This will be Soroka’s second career game against the Baltimore Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 15-29 on the year and play the Brewers, Red Sox, and Cardinals next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .231 on the season, have a .299 OBP, and a .384 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 5.42 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 39 hits and 12 RBI, while Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn have combined for 71 hits and 30 RBI.
Zach Eflin gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 3-1 with a 3.13 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. Eflin is 5-5 with a 4.66 ERA and 68 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Nationals have lost nine of their last 10 road games against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Orioles have won three of their last four day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine Sunday day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Nationals and Orioles.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Orioles’ last six games.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Orioles.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Ramon Laureano has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against the Nationals.
- Zach Eflin has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ramon Laureano has scored a run in each of the Orioles’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Zach Eflin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances.
- Colton Cowser has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Orioles as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in four of his last nine appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against NL opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Orioles.
- Nathaniel Lowe has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Soroka has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
I’ve said it for weeks now, and will continue to say it, the Orioles aren’t a good baseball team. With five straight losses and just two wins since May 3, you should be fading the Orioles every chance you get. Yes, Eflin is the better pitcher, the Orioles are at home, and it’s not like the Nationals are playing that much better. Still, the Orioles have been the most disappointing team in baseball, and they’re burning a hole in bettors’ pockets. Getting plus money to fade the O’s makes it that much better. I’ll keep betting against the Orioles until they get their act together. Give me the Nationals.