Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5/18/25 MLB Picks

The Minnesota Twins and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will trot out Zebby Matthews for his season debut here, and Matthews was 1-4 with a 6.69 ERA and 43 strikeouts last season. This will be Matthews’ first career start against the Brewers. Milwaukee will start Freddy Peralta here, and Peralta is 4-3 with a 2.66 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. In his career, Peralta is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 13 strikeouts against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to build on their 7-0 win over the Brewers from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 26-20 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head home for a division series against the Cleveland Guardians.

Twins Win Streak Hits 13

Byron Buxton has 41 hits along with 5 doubles, a team-high 10 home runs, and 27 RBIs with 8 stolen bases and 3 triples, while Carlos Correa has 35 hits with 8 doubles, and Willi Castro has 23 hits with 7 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 4 home runs and 18 RBIs while Buxton contributed a team-high 56 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 42 hits, 8 doubles, 3 home runs, and 23 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 41 hits with 7 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last 13 games.
• The Brewers have lost five of their last six games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line each of their last 10 games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against the Twins following a loss.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Willi Castro has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
• Christian Vazquez has recorded a Single in each of his last seven road appearances.
• Byron Buxton has recorded an RBI in each of his last seven Sunday appearances.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Twins on Saturday to fall to 21-25 on the year. After this series, the Brewers will square off in an interleague series at home against the Baltimore Orioles.

Brewers Drop Seven Of Their Last Nine Games

Brice Turang has 47 hits with 3 home runs, 16 RBIs, and 12 stolen bases, while Jackson Chourio has 48 hits with a team-high 14 doubles, 7 home runs, and 25 RBIs, and Sal Frelick has 39 hits as well as 2 triples and 8 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 8 stolen bases with 7 homers and 26 RBIs while also adding 4 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 53 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 4 homers and 21 RBIs as well this season. Rhys Hoskins has added 39 hits with 5 home runs, 24 RBIs, and 7 doubles.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won 15 of their last 16 games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have lost six of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games following a loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Rhys Hoskins has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four day games.
• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in four of his five previous appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Rhys Hoskins has scored at least one run in each of his four previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Twins.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
• William Contreras has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 11 day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Brice Turang ranks T7th in the league in Steals (12) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Twins’ last nine road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. Freddy Peralta’s been outstanding at home this season with a sub-1.00 ERA, and while Zebby Matthews struggled at times last year, he was better on the road with an ERA under four, and the Twins have had the best bullpen ERA in baseball over the last week. Let’s not forget that the Brewers have actually been shut out in four of their last five games as well. I think this is going to be a low-scoring battle, so give me the under here.