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New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction 5/17/25 MLB Picks

Pick details

New York Yankees (26-18) vs New York Mets (28-17)

Game Info: Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 1:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -135 / New York Mets +114 — Over/Under: 9.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The New York Mets and New York Yankees meet Saturday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs New York Yankees Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 28-17 on the year and play the Red Sox, Dodgers, and White Sox next. The New York Mets are batting .251 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and a .423 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.89 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 53 hits and 27 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Juan Soto have combined for 90 hits and 56 RBI. 

Griffin Canning gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 5-1 with a 2.36 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Canning is 0-0 with a 3.94 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 26-18 on the year and play the Rangers, Rockies, and Angels next. The New York Yankees are batting .263 on the season, have a .347 OBP, and a .477 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 70 hits and 41 RBI, while Paul Goldschmidt and Anthony Volpe have combined for 95 hits and 49 RBI.

Clarke Schmidt gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 1-1 with a 4.73 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. Schmidt is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 2 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Mets have lost each of their last 10 Saturday games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The home team has won four of the Mets’ last five games.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The home team has covered the run line in each of the Yankees’ last three games.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Mets and Yankees.
  • The Yankees have lost each of their last five day games following a win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a home win.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his six previous Saturday day appearances against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Griffin Canning has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mets’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded a Single in each of the Mets’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Siri has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are playing the better baseball, but I’m grabbing the plus money with the Mets on Saturday. Schmidt has been hittable this season with his 4.73 ERA, and he has control issues at times. The Mets have won seven straight games Canning has pitched, and he’s allowed a combined 12 hits and two runs in his last 16 innings. With a 2.36 ERA and 1.26 WHIP through 42 innings, Canning looks like he can be an all-star for the first time. It’s also only a matter of time before the Mets’ offense breaks out of this funk. Give me the plus money with the road team. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Mets +114

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