Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros Prediction 5/11/25 MLB Picks

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 19-19 on the year and play the Royals, Rangers, and Rays next. The Houston Astros are batting .247 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .375 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros' pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Jeremy Pena leads the Houston Astros with 42 hits and 19 RBI, while Jose Altuve and Isaac Paredes have combined for 74 hits and 31 RBI.

Ronel Blanco gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 2-3 with a 4.98 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. This will be Blanco’s second career game against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
• The Reds have lost four of their last five road games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against AL West opponents.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last nine games against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have lost each of their last eight games against the Reds following a loss.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Brendan Rodgers has recorded a Double in five of his six previous home appearances against the Reds.
• Victor Caratini has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Daikin Park.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded an RBI in each of the Astros' last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Victor Caratini has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in day games.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros' last 14 games at Daikin Park.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros' last eight games at Daikin Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Will Benson has scored a run in each of his four previous road appearances against the Astros.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL West opponents.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Jake Fraley has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in day games.

Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros Prediction

The Reds have had issues stringing together wins lately, and I’m not running to the window to back Petty, who has just 2.1 innings under his belt. Petty was rocked in his MLB debut against the Cardinals, allowing seven hits and nine runs while getting just one ground ball. The Astros and Blanco aren’t lighting the world on fire, as he’s allowed 30 hits and 19 runs in 34.1 innings. Still, we saw Blanco have a strong season last year, and he’s been solid at home this season, posting a 3.74 ERA and .173 allowed batting average in 21.2 innings. The Astros should win this game. Give me the home team and a reasonable price.