Miami Marlins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 5/9/25 MLB Picks

Marlins Drop 8 Of Their Last 10 Games

Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 37 hits, including 3 doubles and a team-high 9 stolen bases, while Eric Wagaman has 29 hits with 7 doubles. Otto Lopez has 25 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 11 RBIs, and Matt Mervis has a team-high 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 36 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs, and 25 RBIs, but also has 40 strikeouts, while Mervis has 40 K’s as well so far this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The White Sox have lost each of their last 11 night games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have won each of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last nine road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in six of the Marlins' last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Xavier Edwards ranks T10th in the league in Steals (9) this season.

Chicago White Sox Recap

The Chicago White Sox come into this game looking to bounce back from a 10-0 loss at the hands of the Kansas City Royals last time out to slip to 10-28 on the year. After this series, the White Sox will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

White Sox Drop Four In A Row

Lenyn Sosa leads the White Sox with 32 hits, including 5 doubles and 10 RBIs. Andrew Benintendi has 19 hits, including 5 home runs, 12 RBIs, and a .224 batting average, while Miguel Vargas has a team-high 8 doubles and 12 RBIs. Brooks Baldwin has also added 15 RBIs, while Luis Robert Jr. has a team-high 15 stolen bases so far this season. Andrew Vaughn has 3 home runs and 14 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Marlins and White Sox.
• The Marlins have lost 12 of their last 15 games as favorites following a loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 games as favorites following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Marlins' last four games at Rate Field.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Luis Robert has hit a home run in three of the White Sox's last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael A. Taylor has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against the Marlins.
• Korey Lee has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances with the White Sox as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Andrew Benintendi has scored a run in each of his last five appearances.
• Andrew Benintendi has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Luis Robert ranks T1st in the league in Steals (15) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins' last nine road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the White Sox's last six home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction

I’m on the Marlins here. I get the case to be made for a home underdog in some spots, but the thing is that the White Sox continue to be one of the worst lineups in baseball this season. The Marlins have been disappointing as of late, but have still been able to spring some wins as of late and the Marlins have a clear edge in starting pitching here with Max Meyer over Bryse Wilson. Give me the Marlins to draw first blood in this series on Friday.