Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction 5/8/25 MLB Picks

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 19-19 this season after they won game two by a score of 6-4 on Wednesday night. Boston hit a pair of solo home runs to stay in the game early, and they dominated the late innings for the win. The Red Sox recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bregman and Abreu, who both had three RBIs in the win. Boston started Houck, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Bernardino picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Blue Jays. Boston has lost five of their last seven games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 186 runs with a .255 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Alex Bregman has led Boston with nine home runs and 30 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added nine home runs and 25 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 17.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Rangers 

• The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine games against the Red Sox following a road loss.
• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games against the Rangers following a home win.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
• The favorites have covered the run line in four of the Rangers' last five games.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Rangers' last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Red Sox's last six day games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in six of the Rangers' last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in eight of the Red Sox's last 10 home games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Rangers.
• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against AL West opponents.
• Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one Double in four of his five previous home appearances against the Rangers after playing the previous day.
• Alex Bregman has scored a run in eight of the Red Sox's last nine day games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Adolis Garcia has hit at least one home run in each of the Rangers' last two games as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
• Joc Pederson has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rangers' last four games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
• Corey Seager has scored a run in each of the Rangers' last eight road games against the Red Sox.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Rangers as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Jonah Heim has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Rangers' last 11 games.

Rangers vs Red Sox Prediction 

These two teams have split the first two games in this series and will be looking for the series win here. Boston is 10-9 at home this year, while Texas is just 6-11 on the road. The Rangers have really struggled to score consistently this season, and they will face Bello, who has allowed one earned run in two of his three starts this year. On the other side, the Rangers will start Leiter, who has been decent this year, but did allow six earned runs in his last start against Seattle. I don’t love either pitcher in this game, but I can’t back this Texas offense. Take the Red Sox here.