Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5/8/25 MLB Picks

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 17-20 on the year and play the Giants, Orioles, and Brewers next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .238 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and a .374 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 37 hits and 25 RBI, while Ty France and Carlos Correa have combined for 65 hits and 31 RBI.

Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 4-1 with a 3.72 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Ober is 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last 10 games at Target Field against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have won nine of their last 10 home games.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against American League opponents.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won seven of their last nine games as road underdogs against the Twins.
• The Twins have lost each of their last seven Thursday games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six Thursday day games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Thursday games as favorites.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents at Target Field.
• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of the Twins' last three games against AL opponents.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins' last three games against AL opponents.
• Bailey Ober has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
• Willi Castro has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents at Target Field.
• Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances.
• Harrison Bader has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
• Byron Buxton ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Tyler O'Neill has scored a run in six of his last seven appearances against the Twins.
• Jordan Westburg has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Twins.

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

As I said yesterday, it may be time to admit that the Orioles aren’t a good team, as they’ve now lost 11 of their last 15 games and the pitching staff keeps getting drilled. A quick turnaround likely doesn’t help matters. Kremer has also been terrible this season, allowing 43 hits and 24 earned runs in 37.2 innings, and he has an 8.17 ERA and .330 allowed batting average in 25.1 road innings. No, thank you. The Twins are having their best week of the season with four straight wins, and Ober has allowed a combined three runs in his last 19.2 innings. Ober has a 2.76 ERA and .258 allowed batting average in 16.1 home innings. Not an ideal spot for the O’s to stop the bleeding. Give me the Twins and the RL for max betting value.