Arizona Diamondbacks (19-17) vs New York Mets (23-14)
Game Info: Wednesday, May 7, 2025 at 3:40 pm (Chase Field)
K. Senga (R) vs M. Kelly (R)
Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +105 / New York Mets -125 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: MLB.TV
In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 7, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (23-14, 10- 11 Away) hope to secure their first series in two weeks after splitting with the Nats and losing to the Diamondbacks and Cardinals before this series in Phoenix. The Mets opened the current series with a 5-4 win, but succumbed to a 5-1 defeat in Game 2. David Peterson took the loss after allowing four runs on five hits with six strikeouts and four walks in 6.0 innings.
This year, the Mets average 4.70 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .250/.333/.416 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.94 ERA (1st) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .341 batting average, nine home runs, and 34 RBI this season.
Kodai Senga will take the mound for the Mets on Wednesday. The 32-year-old right-hander has a 3-2 record in six starts this year with a 1.38 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 32.2 innings.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks (19-17, 9-9 Home) are looking to beat the Mets for the second time in a week, as their lone series win in the last five came against them in New York. In between the series with the Mets, the Diamondbacks lost to the Phillies. Arizona narrowly lost Game 1 5-4 but won the next one 5-1. Josh Naylor and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Zac Gallen got the win after allowing one run on two hits with six strikeouts and three walks over 7.0 innings of work.
This season, the Diamondbacks average 5.14 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .248/.332/.430 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.40 ERA (23rd) and 1.29 WHIP (20th). Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with a .286 batting average, five home runs, and 30 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks is Merrill Kelly, who is 3-1 in seven starts this season, with a 4.06 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 37.2 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets' last four games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Diamondbacks' last seven games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in seven of the last eight day games between the Mets and Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
- The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in four of the Mets' last five games at Chase Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (185).
- The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for RBIs this season (180).
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (20).
- The Mets rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (338).
Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The Diamondbacks won six of the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the D-backs lead the series 3-2. Each of the last four H2Hs went Under, and I am going with another low-scoring affair here. Kodai Senga hasn't allowed more than two runs in a game this year, and he surrendered one run in 4.0 innings against the Diamondbacks last time out. Senga allowed a .148 BA in 54 at-bats against Arizona. Merrill Kelly, on the other hand, had just one bad start this season (against the Yankees), but also hasn't allowed more than two runs in the rest of his starts. Both pitchers should record quality starts here.
Oliver’s Pick Under 9.5
AUTHOR: Oliver Zivic
