Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 5/7/25 MLB Picks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Los Angeles Dodgers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins

Recent betting trends in games played between the Dodgers and Marlins

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Dodgers vs Marlins game

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Dodgers charged out of the gate this year, taking sweeps in sets over the Chicago Cubs, Detroit Tigers, and Atlanta Braves before a series loss versus the Phillies. Los Angeles fell in two of three to both the Washington Nationals and Cubs, then swept the Rockies. The Dodgers took out the Rangers in the next series, lost in two against the Cubs, and then got a victory in a set over the Pirates. After sweeping the Marlins, LA beat the Braves Friday and Saturday but lost the finale 4-3. In Monday’s opener, the Dodgers managed a 7-4 victory thanks to 13 team hits in a nice offensive display. 

In the Tuesday matchup, LA fought back from a couple of deficits during the game but ended up falling in the end, 5-4 after 10 innings. Starter Tony Gonsolin lasted 5.0 frames with two earned runs on four hits and two walks. 

As a starter for the Wednesday finale, the Dodgers didn’t immediately announce a name.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they took out the Pittsburgh Pirates in their first set of the season before two series defeats against the New York Mets, surrounding a split with the Braves. Miami would then beat the Nationals in a series, then fall in a sweep by the Diamondbacks prior to a series loss to the Phillies. The Marlins beat the Reds in two of three games, then lost a series versus the Mariners before a sweep by the Dodgers. The Marlins split their first two games with the Oakland A’s, then lost the Sunday finale. On Monday, Miami notched 10 team hits and had three runs in the eighth inning, but it wasn’t enough. 

In the Tuesday game, the Marlins scored twice in both the fifth and sixth innings on the way to 11 team hits. Cal Quantrill went 5.0 innings as a starter with one earned run on four hits and a walk. 

It’ll be Valente Bellozo in the starter slot for the Marlins on Wednesday. This year, Bellozo is 0-2 with a 4.97 ERA in three starts over 12.2 innings. Bellozo is 3-6 with a 3.87 ERA in 16 starts over 81.1 innings in his career. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Dodgers have lost seven of their last 10 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The home team has won four of the last five games between the Dodgers and Marlins.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in four of the Dodgers' last five games.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last nine day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against NL West opponents following a home win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against the Marlins following a loss.
• The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in 11 of their last 12 games against the Marlins.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against the Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
• The Dodgers have won the first inning in five of their last six games as favorites against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins' last eight games as underdogs against the Dodgers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Dodgers' last seven day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in six of the Dodgers' last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents.

Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction 

It might be worth taking a value stab on the Marlins, but Bellozo does need a good bounce-back effort. In his last start, Bellozo took a loss versus the A’s with five earned runs on four hits and four walks in 4.2 innings. In his previous two starts, however, Bellozo managed two earned in 8.0 innings on nine hits and four walks. Trouble is, he hasn’t been able to record a win yet. Bellozo will need some help from his teammates in this one. 

The Marlins used five different arms out of the bullpen in order to help out Quantrill, but it was worth it to get that tight win. Pulling off another victory Wednesday is going to be a tall order, but if Bellozo can start things off on a high note, there’s always a chance.