New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 4/30/25 MLB Picks

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 11-18 on the year and play the Royals, Twins, and Angels next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .221 on the season, have a .294 OBP, and a .378 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 5.52 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP. Cedric Mullins leads the Baltimore Orioles with 26 hits and 20 RBI, while Ryan O’Hearn and Adley Rutschman have combined for 41 hits and 19 RBI.

Cade Povich gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 1-2 with a 5.04 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Povich is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last eight night games against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have won each of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Orioles following a road win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against the Yankees following a home loss.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won 18 of their last 19 Wednesday night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost four of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in three of their last four games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ryan O'Hearn has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles against AL opponents.
• Ryan O'Hearn has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has scored a run in each of his last four appearances with the Orioles as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Wednesday night appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one Double in five of the Yankees' last six games against AL East opponents.
• Carlos Carrasco has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against the Orioles.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees' last five games as favorites against the Orioles.
• Oswaldo Cabrera has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees' last four road games against AL East opponents.
• Carlos Carrasco has recorded four or more strikeouts in 21 of his last 22 Wednesday appearances in night games with his team as a favorite.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees' last 12 road games against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.
• Trent Grisham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.412) this season.

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles continue to underachieve and continue to watch their pitching staff get rocked. Don’t expect much different from Povich, who has allowed 34 hits and 14 earned runs in 25 innings. Carrasco has had his issues as well, allowing 26 hits and 15 earned runs in 25.2 innings. However, Carrasco is coming off his best start of the season, holding the Blue Jays to five scoreless innings. Carrasco has allowed one or fewer runs in two of his last three starts. Bottom line is the Yankees have the more trustworthy lineup against bad pitching. The O’s are one of the more disappointing teams up to this point. Give me the Yankees.