Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 4/29/25 MLB Picks

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 14-14 on the year and play the Yankees, Phillies, and Brewers next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .253 on the season, have a .319 OBP, and a .391 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 28 hits and 13 RBI, while Junior Caminero and Jonathan Aranda have combined for 51 hits and 25 RBI.

Taj Bradley gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 2-1 with a 5.08 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. This will be Bradley’s second career game against the Kansas City Royals.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won seven of their last eight home games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Royals have lost each of their last five night games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a win.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday night games.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road games.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Rays have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Royals following a road win.
• The Royals have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Rays following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as home favorites following a road win.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Royals.
• Danny Jansen has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances against the Royals.
• Danny Jansen has scored a run in each of his last three appearances against the Royals after not playing the previous day.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Rays' last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Royals after not playing the previous day.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more hits in each of the Royals' last three games as underdogs against the Rays.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Royals' last nine games against the Rays.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Single in each of the Royals' last four games as underdogs against the Rays.
• Mark Canha has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Rays.
• Mark Canha has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Rays.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T9th in the league in Hits (35) this season.

Kansas City Royals vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Rays should be feeling themselves after a sweep of the Padres, but this price is a bit strange. Bradley hasn’t been good this season, allowing 22 hits and 14 runs in his last 22.1 innings. Bradley has allowed 15 hits and nine runs in his last 11.1 innings while walking six. Lorenzen has been more trustworthy, allowing 29 hits and 12 earned runs in 27.2 innings. The Royals have also played decent ball over the last week, which includes wins in six of their last seven games. Give me the more favorable price and the hotter pitcher.