Tigers vs Astros Prediction 4/28/25 MLB Picks

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 14-13 this season after they lost two out of three against the Royals by scores of 0-2, 0-2, and 7-3. In their lone victory, Houston scored the first four runs in the game and added three more in the sixth/seventh for the win. The Astros recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Pena and Alvarez, who both had three RBIs in the win. Houston started Brown, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while King and Scott allowed one earned run each out of the bullpen. 

Prior to that series, the Astros won all three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Padres. Houston has won four of their last six games, and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.18 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and a .210 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 99 runs with a .231 batting average and a .302 on-base percentage this season. Isaac Paredes has led Houston with four home runs and 13 RBIs, while Yordan Alvarez has added three home runs, 16 RBIs, and one stolen base this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ronel Blanco, who is 2-2 with a 5.01 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Astros will beat the Tigers 

• The Astros have won five of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros' last six night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Tigers' last six games as favorites against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in eight of the Astros' last nine home games against AL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last five games as favorites against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in four of the Astros' last five home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Christian Walker has scored a run in five of his last six home appearances.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros' last seven games against AL opponents at Daikin Park.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros' last nine home games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in each of the Tigers' last two night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Andy Ibanez has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers' last three games at Daikin Park.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers' last 11 night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Spencer Torkelson has scored at least one run in 11 of the Tigers' last 12 games against AL opponents.
• Parker Meadows has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL opponents.
• Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Astros rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.210).
• The Astros rank T27th in the league for home runs this season (21).
• The Tigers rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (6).
• The Tigers rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (87).

Tigers vs Astros Prediction 

Detroit comes into this series with one of the best records in all of baseball, but they are just 5-7 on the road. Houston started the season struggling at the plate, but they have played better over the last two weeks and are 9-6 at home. The Astros are starting Blanco, who has allowed two earned runs in two of his last three starts. On the other side, the Tigers are going with Flaherty, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his five starts this year. Flaherty has pitched well this season, but Detroit is just 1-4 in his five outings. Take Houston to get the win here.