Atlanta Braves (2-9) vs Philadelphia Phillies (8-3)
Game Info: Thursday, April 10, 2025 at 7:15 pm (Truist Park)
J. Luzardo (L) vs S. Schwellenbach (R)
Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -125 / Philadelphia Phillies +105 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: MLB.TV
In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 10, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies (8-3, 3-2 Away) beat the Nationals, swept the Rockies, and defeated the Dodgers to open the new season. The Phillies lost 7-5 and won 4-3 in the first two games of this series in Atlanta. In the last night's victory, Bryce Harper contributed two RBI, while Trea Turner hit a solo homer in the 9th to secure the win for the Phillies. Taijuan Walker pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on five hits with five strikeouts and three walks. Jose Alvarado was credited with a win.
This season, the Phillies average 5.00 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .268/.359/.429 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.64 ERA (11th) and 1.18 WHIP (7th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .293 batting average, five home runs, and 11 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Jesus Luzardo, who has a 2-0 record in two starts this year with a 1.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 12.0 innings.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves (2-9, 2-2 Home) opened the new season with seven straight defeats but won two of the previous four games. The Braves were swept by the Padres and Dodgers, split the series with the Marlins, and beat the Phillies in Game 1 of this series before Philadelphia responded with a 4-3 victory on Wednesday. Grant Holmes pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on three hits with six strikeouts and four walks. Raisel Iglesias took a loss.
This year, the Braves average 3.10 runs per game (27in the MLB) on a .207/.296/.322 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 4.43 ERA (20th) and 1.30 WHIP (17th). Austin Riley leads the Braves with a .200 batting average, two home runs, and five RBI this season.
Spencer Schwellenbach will take the mound for the Braves on Thursday. The 24-year-old righty has a 1-0 record in two starts this year with a 0.00 ERA and 0.29 WHIP over 14.0 innings of work.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Braves' last seven games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies' last five games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in six of the Phillies' last seven road games.
- The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Phillies and Braves.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank T28th in the league for runs scored this season (34).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for hits this season (77).
- The Phillies rank 4th in the league for batting average this season (.265).
- The Phillies rank T4th in the league for walks allowed this season (34).
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
The teams have traded victories in the past few years as each recorded five over the previous ten H2H encounters. Schwellenbach has been sensational in his first starts of the season, as he allowed just three hits and no runs, while he posted a 2.45 ERA in 18.1 innings against the Phillies last year. Another quality start for Schwellenbach is on the cards here. On the other hand, the Braves have been horrific against southpaws this season, averaging only a .155 in 71 at-bats. Luzardo, who has been solid so far, should throw for at least five innings, and I don't think he'll allow more than a couple of runs. Seven of the last ten H2Hs went Under. I am also going with Under here.
Oliver’s Pick Under 8.5
AUTHOR: Oliver Zivic
