Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction 4/9/25 MLB Picks

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York

-Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and New York

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Marlins and Mets. 

Marlins Pitching Struggled

The Marlins' pitching really struggled on Tuesday, and that led to the defeat. The Marlins gave up ten runs, four in the fifth inning and three in the sixth inning, and that was the difference. Xzavion Curry came out of the bullpen and went 0.2 innings, giving up three hits and two runs. Thursday is an off day, but on Friday, they return home to face the Washington Nationals. 

The Marlins are averaging 3.45 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.95 runs per game. At least on paper, the way the first couple of games have gone, this could be a long season. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Max Meyer, who sits with a record of 0-1 and an ERA of 3.09. Against the Atlanta Braves, he went six innings, giving up eight hits and three runs. He really played with fire for most of the game. 

Another Strong Offensive Game for the Mets

On Tuesday, the Mets played another strong offensive game, scoring 10 runs to win. Francisco Lindor hit a home run. Pete Alonso also had another strong game, finishing with two hits, one run, one walk, and four RBIs. Clay Holmes played with some fire as the starter, but the bullpen came in and gave up only one run, which ended up being the difference. 

The Mets are averaging 4.09 runs, while their pitching is giving up 2.54 runs per game. The offense was good on Tuesday, but this has been a really good pitching team all season. Pete Alonso has hit three home runs and driven in 15 RBis. Tylor Megill gets the start for the Mets, and he sits with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 0.87. Against the Toronto Blue Jays in his last start, he went 5.1 innings, giving up two hits and one run. 

Why the Mets Will Beat the Marlins

• The Mets have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Goal Facts

• Seven of the Mets' last eight day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Marlins' last three day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in five of the Mets' last six day games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in eight of the Marlins' last 10 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets pitching has been number one in the MLB, and now they send their best pitcher to the mound here. Megill has gone 10.1 innings so far this season and has given up only one run total. The Mets are also averaging 4.09 runs per game, and they are going to find some success against Meyer. His last game he played with fire and this game the Mets will take advantage. The Mets will score at least seven and end up cruising here. Back the Mets on the run line to cash here.