Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 4/8/25 MLB Picks

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 6-5 this season after they dropped game one in this series. Boston wasn’t able to generate many scoring chances in this game, and they went scoreless from the end of the third to the eighth inning. The Red Sox recorded just five hits, and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Devers and Casas, who both had one RBI in the loss. Boston started Fitts, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings in the loss, while Weissert and Stock combined to allow three more runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Red Sox swept the Cardinals in three games and won two out of three against the Orioles. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.41 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .283 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 65 runs with a .271 batting average and a .352 on base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with three home runs and 12 RBIs, while Alex Bregman has added two home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 13.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Blue Jays 

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Red Sox have won each of their last four night games following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four night games following a home loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Blue Jays' last nine road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Red Sox's last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last seven night games against AL East opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in 13 of the Red Sox's last 14 night games against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox's last nine games at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Fenway Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox's last four home games.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
• Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Alex Bregman has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays' last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Andres Gimenez has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Blue Jays' last nine games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last 22 road games against AL East opponents.
• Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his nine previous appearances at Fenway Park.
• Anthony Santander has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against the Red Sox.
• Jose Berrios has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 

Toronto was able to snap their three-game losing streak with a win on Monday night in game one of the series, but they are just 1-3 on the road this year. The Blue Jays have struggled offensively through 11 games, and they will go up against Crochet, who was dominant in his last start against Baltimore. The Red Sox had their winning streak snapped on Monday night, but they have scored at least five runs in four of their last five games. The Blue Jays will start Lucas, who pitched very well against Washington in his first outing, but I think he is in for a rough one here. Take the Red Sox to win.