Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 4/5/25 MLB Picks

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 3-4 on the year and play the Twins, Guardians, and Yankees next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .225 on the season, have a .296 OBP, and a .344 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals' pitching staff has a 3.08 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Jonathan India leads the Kansas City Royals with 8 hits and 2 RBI, while Maikel Garcia and Salvador Perez have combined for 15 hits and 10 RBI.

Michael Wacha gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 2 strikeouts this season. Wacha is 3-1 with a 5.21 ERA and 37 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Royals have won 21 of their last 22 games at Kauffman Stadium against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Royals have covered the run line in 16 of their last 17 games at Kauffman Stadium against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Royals have lost each of their last five games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday games as road underdogs.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Royals at Kauffman Stadium.

Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Orioles have been disappointing through eight games, as the offense just isn’t producing. The Orioles now throw out a pitcher in Sugano who is pitching in just his second MLB game. I’m not a fan of small sample sizes. The Royals have benefited underwhelming in their own right, but they’re at hom,e and Wacha is an experienced pitcher with all-star caliber stuff when he’s right. With a pick 'em price, it’s hard to turn down the Royals at home with the more trustworthy pitcher on the mound. I’ll side with the Royals on Saturday afternoon.