Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 9/26/24

Minnesota Twins (81-76) vs Miami Marlins (58-99)

Game Info: Thursday, September 26, 2024 at 7:40 pm (Target Field)

David Festa (2-6) (4.80) vs Valente Bellozo (3-4) (3.82)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -240 / Miami Marlins +214 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins and the Minnesota Twins meet Thursday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Valente Bellozo here and Bellozo is 3-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. This will be Bellozo’s first career start against the Twins. David Festa will get the start for the Twins and is 2-6 with a 4.80 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. This will be Festa’s first career start against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins will look to bounce back and win the rubber match of the series after an 8-3 loss in Wednesday’s matchup. The loss put the Marlins at risk of extending their series losing streak, which includes losses to the Nationals, Dodgers, and Braves all in the last two weeks.

Marlins Trying To Play Spoiler

Going into Wednesday, Jake Burger leads the Marlins with 28 home runs and 69 RBIs along with 125 hits while Jesus Sanchez has 18 home runs and 63 RBIs with 24 doubles. Xavier Edwards also has a team-high 30 stolen bases while Burger has the dubious distinction of leading the Marlins with 145 strikeouts this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a win.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins will try to win the series after getting on the board with a win in Wednesday’s matchup. The win gave the Twins a chance to snap their series losing streak here with series losses to the Red Sox and Guardians over the last week and a half.

Twins Fighting To Stay Alive

Entering Wednesday, Willi Castro leads the Twins at the dish with 136 hits including 30 doubles and 5 triples as well as 59 RBIs and 14 stolen bases. Ryan Jeffers has 20 home runs, 62 RBIs, and 22 doubles with a .224 batting average and .300 OBP. Carlos Santana has 22 home runs with 65 RBIs while Carlos Correa has 13 home runs, 52 RBIs, and 18 doubles. Jose Miranda has 28 doubles and Castro has a team-high 148 strikeouts so far this season. Byron Buxton also has 25 doubles, 17 homers, and 54 RBIs while Max Kepler has 21 doubles as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
  • The Twins have won four of their last five home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.

Marlins vs. Twins Prediction

I’m on the over here. These are just two starting pitchers that I flat-out don’t trust, as Bellozo just can’t have a clean start and Festa finds a way to give up his fair share of hits. The Twins broke out the bats in a big way on Wednesday, but I think the Marlins respond with some runs of their own here. Give me the over.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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