LA Dodgers (93-64) vs San Diego Padres (91-66)
Game Info: Thursday, September 26, 2024 at 10:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)
Walker Buehler (1-6) (5.37) vs Joe Musgrove (6-5) (3.86)
Betting Odds: LA Dodgers -128 / San Diego Padres +118 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: SportsNet LA, San Diego Padres Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now!
The San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Thursday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The San Diego Padres will send out Joe Musgrove for the start here and Musgrove is 6-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Dodgers, Musgrove is 0-2 with a 4.94 ERA and 25 strikeouts. Walker Buehler will get the start for the Dodgers and is 1-6 with a 5.63 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Buehler is 2-1 with a 2.03 ERA and 29 strikeouts.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this one looking to bounce back from a 4-3 loss at the hands of the Dodgers in Wednesday’s matchup. The Padres will try to win the rubber match to keep their series win streak alive, a streak that includes wins over the White Sox, Astros, and Giants in the last two weeks.
Padres Trying To Catch Dodgers For NL West
Jurickson Profar has 156 hits along with a .283 batting average and 29 doubles with 24 homers and 85 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 82 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 21 home runs, 49 RBIs, and 109 hits as well this season. Manny Machado has 159 hits, 29 home runs, and 104 RBIs but also has 122 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs, and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 24 home runs, 89 RBIs, and 30 doubles with 6 triples this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against the Padres following a win.
- The Padres have won each of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Padres following a win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
Los Angeles Dodgers Recap
The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this one looking to pick up the series win after evening the series up at one win apiece with Wednesday’s win. The win put the Dodgers in line to keep their series win streak alive, which includes series wins over the Rockies and Marlins all in the last week and a half.
Dodgers Trying To Lock Up Division Crown
Shohei Ohtani has 187 hits including a team-high 53 home runs, 36 doubles, 7 triples, and 125 RBIs with a .303 batting average while Mookie Betts has 127 hits with 23 doubles, 5 triples, 19 homers, and 73 RBIs of his own. Teoscar Hernandez also has 31 home runs with 94 RBIs and a team-high 182 strikeouts. Betts also has 16 stolen bases while Ohtani has a team-high 56 stolen bases. Freddie Freeman also has 22 home runs and 89 RBIs with 34 doubles and Will Smith has added 24 doubles, 19 home runs, and 72 RBIs. Andy Pages has also chipped in 23 doubles on the year.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line each of their last six Thursday night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Thursday night games.
Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction
I’m on the Padres here. I just haven’t liked what I’ve seen from Walker Buehler up to this point and I think that the Padres can get to him as this is a Padres lineup that’s been on absolute fire over the last little while against right-handed pitching. The Dodgers have hit righties well themselves, but I trust Joe Musgrove more in a spot like this and I think that the Padres win the series to make the final weekend of the season a little more interesting. Give me the Padres.
Chris’s Pick San Diego +118
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg