Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 9/26/24

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 92-66 this season and they have won three of their last five games. New York has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 14 runs in the two losses. Prior to this series, the Yankees swept the Athletics, won two out of three against the Mariners, and won three out of four against the Red Sox. New York is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are first in the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Yankees' offense has scored 793 runs with a .249 batting average and a .333 on-base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .324 with 57 home runs and 142 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 15-8 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 189.1 innings pitched this year. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who is 7-5 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 88.1 innings pitched this season. Cole has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts but did allow seven earned runs against Boston two starts ago. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost six of their last seven road games following a road win.
• The Yankees have won six of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.

Why the Orioles will beat the Yankees

• The underdogs have won each of the Orioles' last four games.
• The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Yankees' last six games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Orioles' last five road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Yankees' last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last five Thursday night games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction 

Baltimore was able to pick up another big win in game two of this series on Wednesday night, as they are between the Yankees and the AL East title. New York needs one more win to clinch the division and they are 42-35 at home, while Baltimore is 44-33 on the road. The Orioles are starting Corbin Burnes, who has been great in his last four starts but has faced the Tigers (twice), Rays, and White Sox in his last three. New York is going with Gerrit Cole, who has been mostly solid over the last two months but did struggle in his last home start. This is going to be a great pitching matchup to watch, but I think the offenses have the advantage, as both lineups are great. Take the over here.