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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 9/24/24
Pick details
New York Yankees (92-64) vs Baltimore Orioles (86-70)
September 24, 2024 at 07:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -169 / Baltimore Orioles +144 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from the Oakland Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Baltimore Orioles will start Dean Kremer here and Kremer is 7-10 with a 4.19 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Kremer is 2-0 with a 3.90 ERA and 29 strikeouts. Clarke Schmidt will start this one for the Yankees and is 5-4 with a 2.37 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Orioles, Schmidt is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this one looking to rebound from another series loss after falling short against the Detroit Tigers this past weekend thanks to a 4-3 loss in Sunday’s rubber match. The loss extended Baltimore’s series losing skid, which includes losses to the Tigers and Giants over the last week and a half.
Orioles Clinging To Wild Card Spot
Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 173 hits, along with 37 home runs, 89 RBIs, and 7 triples but also has a team-high 155 strikeouts in addition to 21 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has 138 hits with 19 home runs and 77 RBIs in addition to 20 doubles while Anthony Santander has 24 doubles with 43 home runs and 99 RBIs. Colton Cowser has 23 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has 29 doubles and Jordan Westburg has 26 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 30 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Orioles following a win.
- The Orioles have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against the Yankees following a loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 road games against AL East opponents following a loss.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees come into this game looking to build on their series sweep over the Oakland A’s thanks to a 7-4 win in Sunday’s series finale. The series win kept New York’s series win streak alive which includes sets against the Mariners and Red Sox over the last two weeks.
Yankees Looking To Secure Home Field
Juan Soto has 160 hits along with 31 doubles and 40 home runs with 104 RBIs to go along with a .287 batting average and .418 OBP. Aaron Judge has a team-high 55 home runs and 138 RBIs of his own along with a team-leading 36 doubles while also posting 165 strikeouts so far this season. Anthony Volpe added 154 hits with 12 home runs, 7 triples, 59 RBIs, and a team-high 27 stolen bases as well this season. Alex Verdugo has 28 doubles and 58 RBIs and Giancarlo Stanton also has 26 home runs, 68 RBIs, and 135 strikeouts this season.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last 10 Tuesday games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Yankees have won each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four games.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction
I’m on the Yankees here. I like this Orioles team, but the offense has fallen off of a cliff in recent games and it’s just hard to back them, especially against a Yankees team that just keeps finding ways to win this late in the year as they’re pushing ahead to secure the division and home field in the playoffs. Baltimore I think will have value at some point, it’s just not here. Give me the Yankees.