San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB Picks 9/22/24

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Kansas City Royals (82-73) vs San Francisco Giants (76-79)

September 22, 2024 at 02:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals -105 / San Francisco Giants -115 — Over/Under: 7.5

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In this article, we will formulate a San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 22nd at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Giants’ recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Royals’ recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Francisco 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Kansas City
  • Recent betting trends in games played between San Francisco and Kansas City
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Francisco and Kansas City

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 76-79 this year and they have won four of their last five games. San Francisco has won the first two games in this series by scores of 2-1 and 9-0. Prior to this series, the Giants won two out of three against the Orioles, lost all three against the Padres, and lost two out of three against the Brewers. San Francisco is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the NL West. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Giants’ offense has scored 662 runs with a .238 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage. Heliot Ramos is batting .267 with 21 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Giants this season.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 82-73 this season and they have lost six games in a row. Kansas City has lost the first two games in this series and they have only scored one run in two games. Prior to this series, the Royals lost all three against the Tigers, won two out of three against the Pirates, and lost two out of three against the Yankees. Kansas City is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 719 runs with a .251 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .334 with 32 home runs and 108 RBI’s for the Royals this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Blake Snell, who is 4-3 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 98.0 innings pitched this year. Snell has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 16-8 with a 3.05 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 197.2 innings pitched this season. Lugo has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Giants will beat the Royals 

  • The road team has won seven of the Royals’ last eight games.
  • The Royals have lost each of their last five games at Kauffman Stadium.
  • The Giants have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Giants’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Royals’ last five-day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last four games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last three games against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances with the Royals as home underdogs.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 20 games at Kauffman Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Paul DeJong has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as an underdog against the Giants.
  • Maikel Garcia has recorded a Double in four of the Royals’ last five-day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Seth Lugo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last six games as underdogs.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has scored a run in four of his last five appearances against NL West opponents at Kauffman Stadium.
  • Seth Lugo has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Royals’ last 20 games at Kauffman Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Royals.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
  • Casey Schmitt has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Royals.
  • Blake Snell has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite.
  • Casey Schmitt has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Mike Yastrzemski has scored at least one run in six of the Giants’ last seven games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances at Kauffman Stadium.

San Francisco Giants vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

Kansas City comes into this game desperately needing a win to snap this losing streak. The Royals are currently in a wild-card spot, but the Twins and Tigers are right behind them. KC is 45-35 at home this year, while San Francisco is 35-42 on the road. The Giants have played very well over the last week and they will have Snell on the mound, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last few months. I don’t trust this Royals team right now, especially against a great pitcher, so give me the Giants here. 

David Racey's Pick: Giants ML

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