Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 9/18/24

Cleveland Guardians (87-64) vs Minnesota Twins (79-71)

Game Info: Wednesday, September 18, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Progressive Field)

Tanner Bibee (11-8) (3.60) vs Bailey Ober (12-7) (3.90)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -111 / Minnesota Twins -106 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians meet Wednesday in MLB game 3 action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 80-71 on the year after playing the Angels and Reds. The Minnesota Twins have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 131 hits and 57 RBI, while Carlos Santana and Jose Miranda have combined for 231 hits and 114 RBI.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 87-65 on the year after playing the White Sox and Rays. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Cleveland Guardians have won 10 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 160 hits and 107 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Andres Gimenez have combined for 276 hits and 103 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Pick Matchup

Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 12-7 with a 3.90 ERA and 168 strikeouts this season. Ober has allowed 8 hits and 6 runs in his last 19.2 innings. Ober has a 3.76 ERA and .198 allowed batting average in 88.2 road innings. Ober is 2-2 with a 2.13 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Tanner Bibee gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 11-8 with a 3.60 ERA and 175 strikeouts this season. Bibee has allowed 14 hits and 6 runs in his last 17 innings. Bibee has a 4.54 ERA and a .252 allowed batting average in 75.1 home innings. Bibee is 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the Twins' last five games.
  • The Guardians have lost nine of their last 11 home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Twins at Progressive Field following a home loss.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games at Progressive Field following a road win.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three road night games.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Lane Thomas has hit a home run in two of the Guardians' last three games as home favorites.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded a Double in three of the Guardians' last four games as home favorites against AL opponents.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians' last five games against AL Central opponents.
  • Josh Naylor has scored a run in five of the Guardians' last six games as favorites against the Twins.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians' last 10 games against AL opponents.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians' last 10 Wednesday night games at Progressive Field.
  • Jose Ramirez ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Correa has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has scored a run in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Willi Castro has recorded a single in each of the Twins' last six games.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances.
  • Max Kepler has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Progressive Field.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded two RBIs in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.231).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for hits allowed this season (1161).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (391).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (1363).

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

The Cleveland Guardians and cheap prices are hard to turn down, given they've been one of the most profitable teams for MLB bettors all season. However, the Twins are playing decent ball as of late and Bailey Ober has been impressive on the road, where he's allowing under a .200 batting average. Tanner Bibee has been shaky in his last couple of starts, and he's actually had his biggest struggles this season at home. Give me the Twins and the cheap price. 

Randy’s Pick Minnesota Twins -106

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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