LA Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 9/18/24

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 56-95 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Miami won game one in this series by a score of 11-9 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Marlins lost three out of four against the Nationals, lost all three against the Pirates, and split four games with the Phillies. Miami is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Marlins' offense has scored 578 runs with a .241 batting average and a .297 on-base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .244 with 26 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Landon Knack, who is 2-4 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 56.0 innings pitched this year. Knack has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Weathers, who is 3-5 with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 71.0 innings pitched this year. Weathers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts but has been on the IL since June 7th. 

Why the Dodgers will beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost each of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Dodgers' last 12 games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Marlins' last four games as home underdogs has gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last seven night games against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of the Marlins' last two games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Otto Lopez has recorded an RBI in each of the Marlins' last four games against NL opponents at LoanDepot Park.
• Jake Burger has scored at least one run in six of his seven previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Dodgers.
• Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins' last three games against NL West opponents at LoanDepot Park.
• Jonah Bride has recorded a Single in nine of the Marlins' last 10 games as underdogs.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last seven home games against NL West opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers' last three road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Miguel Rojas has recorded an RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Teoscar Hernandez has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL opponents.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Dodgers' last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Miguel Rojas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Max Muncy has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Max Muncy has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

LA Dodgers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 

These two teams played a very high-scoring game on Tuesday night, with Miami getting the win, but the Dodgers need to get back on track here. LA hasn’t played very well over the last two weeks and their lead in the NL West is shrinking by the day. The Dodgers are 41-35 on the road, while Miami is just 29-47 at home. The Dodgers are going with Landon Knack, who struggled last time out, but he has been pretty solid this season. I think Knack is going to have a nice bounce-back start against one of the worst offensive teams in baseball, so I like the Dodgers -1.5 here.