San Francisco Giants vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 9/17/24

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Baltimore Orioles (84-66) vs San Francisco Giants (72-78)

September 17, 2024 at 06:35 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles +100 / San Francisco Giants -120 — Over/Under: 7.5

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In this article, we will formulate a San Francisco Giants vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 17th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Giants’ recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Orioles’ recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Francisco
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
  • Recent betting trends in games played between San Francisco and Baltimore 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Francisco and Baltimore

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 72-78 this year and they have lost four games in a row. San Francisco is coming off of a series loss against San Diego, where they lost all three games. Prior to that series, the Giants lost two out of three against the Brewers, won two out of three against the Padres, and lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks. San Francisco is 4-10 in their last 14 games and they are fourth in the NL West. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Giants’ offense has scored 633 runs with a .238 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .247 with 24 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Giants this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 84-66 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Baltimore is coming off of a series loss against Detroit, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Red Sox, lost two out of three against the Rays, and won two out of three against the White Sox. Baltimore is 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Orioles’ offense has scored 727 runs with a .248 batting average and a .315 on-base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .282 with 37 home runs and 87 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Starting Pitchers 

The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Blake Snell, who is 3-3 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 92.0 innings pitched this year. Snell has allowed one earned run in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Albert Suarez, who is 8-5 with a 3.39 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 119.1 innings pitched this season. Suarez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Giants

  • The Giants have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have won nine of their last 10 Tuesday games as home underdogs.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Giants following a loss.
  • The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Orioles’ last five games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Giants’ last four games as favorites against the Orioles have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight home games against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last three games as favorites.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last seven home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last six games against NL West opponents at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 Tuesday night appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last nine night games.
  • Jordan Westburg has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Jordan Westburg has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Heliot Ramos has hit a home run in three of the Giants’ last four road games against AL opponents.
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has recorded a single in each of the Giants’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Blake Snell has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Mike Yastrzemski has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Mike Yastrzemski has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Giants’ last four games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Heliot Ramos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last 10 Tuesday games.
  • Mark Canha has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.

San Francisco Giants vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this game struggling over the last two weeks and they are now three games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Orioles are 42-33 at home this year, while the Giants are just 31-41 on the road. San Francisco has not played well on the road this season, but they will turn to Blake Snell, who has been outstanding over the last few months. The Orioles are going with Suarez, who has been pretty good as well but did have a terrible outing two starts ago. Snell is the way better pitcher in this matchup, but the Orioles have the better offense and the Giants struggle away from home. Take Baltimore here. 

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML

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