Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 9/17/24

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San Diego Padres (84-65) vs Houston Astros (80-68)

September 17, 2024 at 09:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -109 / Houston Astros -109 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Astros and San Diego Padres meet Tuesday in MLB game 2 action at Petco Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include a Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 81-69 on the year after playing the Athletics and Angels. The Houston Astros have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Houston Astros have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 179 hits and 63 RBI, while Yordan Alvarez and Yainer Diaz have combined for 325 hits and 166 RBI.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 86-65 on the year after playing the Mariners and Giants. The San Diego Padres have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The San Diego Padres have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres with 153 hits and 99 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Jurickson Profar have combined for 301 hits and 169 RBI.

Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Pitching Pick Matchup

Hunter Brown gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 11-8 with a 3.59 ERA and 168 strikeouts this season. Brown has allowed 13 hits and 5 runs in his last 11 innings. Brown has a 3.69 ERA and a .266 allowed batting average in 78 road innings. This will be Brown’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.

Michael King gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 12-9 with a 3.06 ERA and 191 strikeouts this season. King has allowed 10 hits and 2 earned runs in his last 11 innings. King has a 3.39 ERA and a .225 allowed batting average in 71.2 home innings. King is 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last six games against AL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Astros have lost six of their last seven games at Petco Park against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Tuesday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven Tuesday games.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Astros at Petco Park.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Jurickson Profar ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.386) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Yordan Alvarez ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.308) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (992).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1359).
  • The Houston Astros rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (1140).
  • The Houston Astros rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (1349).

Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Prediction

You can always make a case for the Houston Astros given their experience this time of year, and they need the wins as they close in on an AL West title. However, the San Diego Padres have been a team we’ve backed a lot in the second half, and it’s paid off nicely. The Padres are on fire and not a team I’m eager to step in front of. I’m high on the Padres as we start gearing up for the postseason. Give me the Padres to keep things rolling.

Randy Chambers's Pick: San Diego Padres -109

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