Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction MLB Picks 9/12/24

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 65-80 this season and they have lost two of their last three games. Washington is coming off of a series split against Atlanta, where they won one game and lost one game. Prior to that series, the Nationals split four games with the Pirates, split two games with the Marlins, and lost all three against the Cubs. Washington is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the NL East. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .261 opponent batting average. The Nationals' offense has scored 609 runs with a .245 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .239 with 20 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Nationals this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Darren McCaughan, who is 0-0 with a 7.40 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP over 24.1 innings pitched this year. McCaughan has allowed five earned runs in his last two starts (8.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 7-9 with a 4.43 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 136.0 innings pitched this season. Parker has allowed seven earned runs in his last two starts (9.1 IP). 

Why the Marlins will beat the Nationals

• The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have won 16 of their last 21 games at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in three of their last four night games against the Nationals at Nationals Park following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Nationals' last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Marlins' last nine road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last seven games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last five night games between the Marlins and Nationals.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of the Nationals' last three games against NL opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Double in three of the Nationals' last four games.
• Jacob Young has scored a run in each of the Nationals' last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances at Nationals Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Luis Garcia has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Nationals' last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Joey Gallo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances at Nationals Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Nationals' last five night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Marlins' last nine night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jonah Bride has hit a home run in three of the Marlins' last eight road games against NL East opponents.
• Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins' last five games against NL opponents.
• Otto Lopez has recorded an RBI in each of the Marlins' last three games against NL East opponents.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last nine night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins' last nine night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 

Washington was able to pick up a nice win on Wednesday night against the Braves, but they are just 33-38 at home and haven’t played well over the last two weeks. Miami is almost 40 games below .500 on the season and they are just 26-45 on the road. Both of these teams are sitting at the bottom of the NL East standings and I don’t like either of these starting pitchers. We have seen a decent season from Parker for the Nats, but he has started to fall apart over the last few weeks. I think we are going to see plenty of runs in this game, but I think there is value in the Marlins against Parker. Take Miami here.