Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB Picks 9/12/24

Pick details

San Francisco Giants (71-74) vs Milwaukee Brewers (83-61)

September 12, 2024 at 09:45 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: San Francisco Giants +117 / Milwaukee Brewers -137 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Brewers and the San Francisco Giants meet Thursday in MLB action from Oracle Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Frankie Montas will get the start for the Brewers here and is 6-10 with a 4.69 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. In his career, Montas is 0-0 with a 3.24 ERA and 17 strikeouts against Cincinnati. Hayden Birdsong will get the start for the Giants here and is 3-5 with a 5.19 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. This will be Birdsong’s second career start against the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to win the series after falling short on Wednesday by a final score of 13-2, evening the set at one win apiece. A series win would help the Brewers snap a series losing streak that includes sets against the Rockies and Cardinals over the last week.

Brewers Trying To Lock Up NL Central

William Contreras leads the Brewers with 155 hits including 35 doubles and 84 RBIs along with 21 home runs and a .360 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has 23 home runs with 71 RBIs and Willy Adames has 29 doubles with 30 home runs and 102 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 41 stolen bases while Adames has a team-high 155 strikeouts as well this season. Jackson Chourio added 19 homers and 69 RBIs also on the year.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Giants have lost each of their last five night games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Brewers have won four of their last five night games at Oracle Park following a loss.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs following a home win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in 14 of their last 16 Thursday games against National League opponents.

San Francisco Giants Recap

The San Francisco Giants come into this one looking to win the set after tying up the series on Wednesday. A win for the Giants here would help them build on a series win over the San Diego Padres from earlier in the week.

Giants Trying To Get Back To .500

Thairo Estrada has 79 hits along with 9 home runs and 47 RBIs while also chipping in 15 doubles. Michael Conforto has 90 hits with 16 home runs, 25 doubles, and 56 RBIs while Matt Chapman has 132 hits of his own alongside 34 doubles with 23 homers, 71 RBIs, and 15 stolen bases. Chapman also has the dubious distinction of leading the Giants with 145 strikeouts this season. Heliot Ramos has 20 home runs and 67 RBIs as well this year.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The Giants have won five of their last seven games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Giants have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Brewers following a win.

Brewers vs. Giants Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. I truly don’t trust either starting pitcher here as the acquisition of Montas by Milwaukee was a head-scratcher for me at the time, but on the other side, the Brewers have been better against righties this season and I can’t really get on the same side as Birdsong. I think this one will be more competitive, but I think we’re marked for runs again here. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 7.5

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