Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 8/11/24

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Boston

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Astros and Red Sox. 

Red Sox Blowing It

The Red Sox are battling for the playoffs, but they have lost three games in a row. On Saturday, the Red Sox scored four runs against the Houston Astros, but it wasn’t enough as they ended up losing by a run. Wilyer Abreu did have a strong game, finishing with a hit and two RBIs. Brad Keller struggled on the mound, going four innings, giving up six hits and three runs. The Red Sox on the season are averaging 4.92 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.67 runs per game. The offense is ranked 5th, while the pitching is ranked 23rd. The pitching hasn’t been good enough overall, and that needs to be better the last month. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be James Paxton, who sits with a 9-3 record and an ERA of 4.42. In his last start against the Kansas City Royals, he went six innings, giving up five hits and two runs. The Red Sox will meet the Rangers and Orioles after this series. 

Why the Red Sox Will Beat the Astros

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 10 Sunday games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have lost four of their last five Sunday games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as favorites following a win.

Astros Need This Win

The Astros have won the first two games of this series, and they are going to look for that success again here. Yordan Alveraz hit two home runs and driven in three RBIs on Saturday. The Astros are averaging 4.59 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.16 runs per game. They have a positive run differential of 0.42 which is 11th in the league. The offense is ranked 13th, while the pitching is ranked 11th. Yordan Alveraz has hit 24 home runs and driven in 62 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Astros will be Hunter Brown, who sits with a 9-7 record and an ERA of 3.98. In his last start against the Texas Rangers, he went six innings giving up three hits and one run. 

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

This game is going to be low scoring. Brown sits with a 9-7 record and an ERA of 3.98. Paxton, in his last start, gave up two runs when he went six innings, and that is going to be the difference here. The Astros and Red Sox are both going to really struggle to get the offense going here, and this game is going to finish with only five or six runs scored total. Back the under to cash.