Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction MLB Picks 8/11/24

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 61-58 this season and they have won four games in a row. San Francisco has won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 3-1. Prior to this series, the Giants won three out of four against the Nationals, won two out of three against the Reds, and split two games with the Athletics. San Francisco is 6-1 in their last seven games and they are fourth in the NL West. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 526 runs with a .244 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .244 with 19 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Giants this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Keider Montero, who is 2-5 with a 5.62 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 49.2 innings pitched this season. Montero has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Hayden Birdsong, who is 3-1 with a 4.73 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 32.1 innings pitched this year. Birdsong has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow seven earned runs in his last start. 

Why the Giants will beat the Tigers

• The Giants have won each of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have lost each of their last four day games after playing the previous day.
• The Giants have covered the run line each of their last three day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Giants have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Sunday day games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Giants' last six games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Tigers' last eight day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Giants' last six home games against American League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last five day games.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Mike Yastrzemski has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Tom Murphy has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Michael Conforto has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Giants' last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Thairo Estrada has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Mike Yastrzemski has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Casey Schmitt has scored a run in five of his last six home appearances.
• Heliot Ramos has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the Giants as favorites.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Tigers as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Sunday appearances.
• Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Spencer Torkelson has scored at least one run in five of his last six road appearances against NL West opponents.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog against the Giants.
• Riley Greene has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against NL West opponents.

Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 

San Francisco comes into this matchup looking for their fifth consecutive win and they are trying to stay close in the NL Wild Card race. The Giants are 35-23 at home this year, while the Tigers are 29-32 on the road. Detroit has been up and down over the last few weeks, but their offense has not been very good over their last three games. Detroit is starting Keider Montero, who has been pretty bad in four of his last five outings. San Francisco is going with Birdsong, who was looking very good, but was shelled in his last outing. I think this is a great bounce back spot for Birdsong against a bad Detroit offense, so my Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for the Giants to win by at least two runs.