Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB Picks 8/6/24

The Boston Red Sox and the Kansas City Royals meet Tuesday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Red Sox vs Royals Pick. We will examine:

The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance

The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox

Recent betting trends in games played between the Royals and Red Sox

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Royals vs Red Sox game

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Red Sox played the Texas Rangers over the weekend. Boston lost 7-4 in the Saturday game but otherwise took the series with wins 11-6 and 7-2 in the other pair. On Monday versus the Royals, the Sox posted 18 team hits in a 9-5 win. James Paxton managed 6.0 innings and two earned in the start.

As starter for Tuesday’s game the Red Sox are sending out Brayan Bello. This year Bello is 10-5 with a 5.13 ERA in 20 starts. Bello is 24-24 with a 4.62 ERA in 61 career games (59 starts).

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

Over on the Royals’ side, they played the Detroit Tigers in their last set. Kansas City lost 6-5 in a tough outcome Saturday, but otherwise rattled off wins 7-1, 9-2 and 3-2 to take the series. On Monday the Royals briefly had the game tied 2-2 but never took the lead. Starter Brady Singer logged 5.2 innings with four earned on 10 hits and one walk.

Seth Lugo will start for the Royals on Tuesday. This year Lugo is 13-5 with a 2.57 ERA in 23 starts. Lugo is 53-36 with a 3.32 ERA in 324 games (87 starts) over his career.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Royals’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last three games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit at least one home run in four of the Royals’ last five games as favorites against AL opponents.
• MJ Melendez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Royals as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Isbel has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last six night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Seth Lugo has recorded a win in nine of his last 11 appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents .
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last eight games at Kauffman Stadium against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Royals’ last eight games at Kauffman Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
• Seth Lugo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Royals as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last six night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 11 games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.343) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Dominic Smith has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven Tuesday night appearances against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last six road games.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last six games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Dominic Smith has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 13 games against AL opponents.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against the Royals.
• David Hamilton ranks T4th in the league in Steals (28) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kansas City Royals rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (28).
• The Kansas City Royals rank 28th in the league for walks this season (296).
• The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.264).
• The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.446).

Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

I’ll try the Royals in this one. Realistically I could probably go either way, though. Lugo had a rough start versus the Cubs on July 27 with six earned in 6.1 innings. In the other two of his last three starts however, Lugo is 2-0 with two earned in 17.0 total innings. As for Bello, he’s got eight earned in 17.1 innings over his last three starts.

On Monday the Royals got a choppy outing from Singer and an even rougher appearance from Angel Zerpa (0.1 innings; four earned). The offense wasn’t bad though, with just about everyone contributing. Lugo will need to start things off well Tuesday but if all goes according to plan KC should be primed for a bounce-back effort.