New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB Picks 8/5/24

Cardinals Looking to Bounce Back at Home 

The St. Louis Cardinals are 57-55 this season and they have split their last six games. St. Louis is coming off of a series loss against the Cubs, where they lost three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Cardinals won two out of three against the Rangers, lost two out of three against the Nationals, and lost two out of three against the Pirates. St. Louis is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are second in the NL Central. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 468 runs with a .245 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Nolan Arenado is batting .266 with 11 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis has allowed at least five runs in seven of their last eleven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 7-4 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 113.0 innings pitched this year. Manaea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 4-5 with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 62.1 innings pitched this season. Pallante has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Mets will beat the Cardinals

• The Mets have won each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Cardinals' last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets' last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last 10 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last three games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Alec Burleson has recorded at least one Double in three of the Cardinals' last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Willson Contreras has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals' last four games against NL East opponents.
• Alec Burleson has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Cardinals' last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Willson Contreras has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Cardinals' last five games against NL East opponents.
• Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals' last five games against NL East opponents.
• Alec Burleson has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Cardinals' last eight games against NL East opponents.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets' last four games against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mets' last five games as road favorites against the Cardinals.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded an RBI in four of the Mets' last five games as favorites against the Cardinals.
• Sean Manaea has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL opponents.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Brett Baty has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Mets as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Ben Gamel has scored at least one run in each of his last four road appearances against the Cardinals.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 Monday appearances with his team as a favorite.

Matchup/League Facts

• The St. Louis Cardinals rank 24th in the league for RBI's this season (442).
• The St. Louis Cardinals rank 7th in the league for walks allowed this season (312).
• The New York Mets rank T3rd in the league for doubles this season (202).
• The New York Mets rank 5th in the league for home runs this season (142).

New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 

These two teams come off of series losses over the weekend and will meet for just one game here, as this is a makeup from May 8th. St. Louis is 29-25 at home this year, while the Mets are 28-24 on the road. The Mets have played pretty well on the road this season, but their series loss to the Angels was not ideal. On the other side, St. Louis is trying to hunt down the Brewers in the NL Central, but they have struggled over the last two weeks. Both of these pitchers have been strong in recent outings, but I think the Mets have the advantage here, as this is a very quick turnaround with travel for the Cardinals. My New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction is for the Mets to win.