Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 8/2/24

Twins Look to Get Back on Track 

The Minnesota Twins are 59-48 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Minnesota is coming off of a series loss against the Mets, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Twins won two out of three against the Tigers, won two out of three against the Phillies, and lost both games against the Brewers. Minnesota is 5-7 in their last 12 games and they are battling with Kansas City for second in the Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 515 runs with a .252 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .247 with 14 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored at least five runs in six of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Davis Martin, who is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA and a 2.25 WHIP over 2.2 innings pitched this year. Martin allowed one earned run and three hits over 2.2 innings pitched against the Mariners in his first appearance. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 6-7 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 126.2 innings pitched this season. Ryan has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Twins will beat the White Sox 

• The White Sox have lost each of their last 14 games against American League opponents.
• The favorites have won each of the White Sox's last 15 games.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the run line in five of the Twins' last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Twins' last nine games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the White Sox's last seven games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the White Sox's last four games.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last three night games against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Willi Castro has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six home appearances against the White Sox.
• Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six home appearances against AL opponents.
• Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances.
• Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents at Target Field.
• Joe Ryan has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances at Target Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins' last nine games at Target Field.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in each of the White Sox's last two night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one RBI in each of the White Sox's last three night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Andrew Benintendi has recorded a Single in each of the White Sox's last six games at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one total base in each of the White Sox's last eight night games.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox's last eight night games.
• Yoan Moncada has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with the White Sox as underdogs against the Twins.

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this series locked in a battle with the Royals for second in the AL Central, so they cannot afford to drop any of these games against the lowly White Sox. Minnesota is 29-21 at home this year, while the White Sox are just 10-44 on the road. Chicago has been the worst team in baseball for most of this season and they have lost 17 games in a row, while scoring three runs or fewer in most of their recent games. There is absolutely no way I am going to back the White Sox on the road, so my Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins prediction is for the Twins to win by at least three runs.