Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 7/31/24

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New York Mets (55-50) vs Minnesota Twins (58-46)

July 31, 2024 at 01:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets / Minnesota Twins — Over/Under:

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In this article, we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 31st at Citi Field.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Twins recent form and recent player performance 

-The Mets recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York

-Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota and New York

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Twins and Mets. 

Twins Offense is Struggling

The Twins offense is really struggling, and so far in this series the offense has scored only two runs. On Tuesday, the Twins finished with only two hits and couldn’t get any offense to cross the plate. David Festa had a solid start, but they wasted it with an awful offensive performance. The Twins are averaging 4.86 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.37 runs per game. The offense is ranked 6th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 17th in the league. They have a run differential of 0.49 which is 9th in the league. Ryan Jeffers has hit 15 home runs and driven in 49 RBIs so far this season. The Twins have dealt with so many injuries this season, and they need to stay healthy. Getting the start for the Twins will be Pablo Lopez, who sits with a 9-7 record and an ERA of 4.73. In his last start against the Detroit Tigers, he went seven innings, giving up six hits and two runs. The Twins will take on the White Sox after this series.

Mets Are Pushing for the Playoffs

The Mets were big buyers at the trade deadline, especially to firm up the bullpen, and they followed that up with a win. Sean Manaea went seven innings, giving up two hits and zero runs. Mark Vientos also hit a home run. The Mets are averaging 4.82 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.67 runs per game. The offense is ranked 7th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 23rd in the league. They have a run differential of 0.15 which is 16th in the league. Francisco Lindor has hit 22 home runs and driven in 62 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Mets will be Luis Severino who sits with a 7-3 record and an ERA of 3.58. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, he went five innings, giving up seven hits and two runs. Over his last three starts, he has given up only four runs total. 

Why the Mets Will Beat the Twins

  • The Mets have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games at Citi Field.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games at Citi Field.

Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Prediction

This game is going to comedown to what Loepz shows up in this game. At times, it’s been the bad Lopez, and other times he has looked like one of the better pitchers in baseball. He has been so inconsistent, and I don’t trust him to find success here. Severino has been consistent the last couple of games, and he’s going to have another strong start here. The Twins bats are going to be ice-cold for the third game in a row, and the Mets are going to get the job done. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Mets ML

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