Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 7/30/24

Rays Coming Off Another Series Win 

The Tampa Bay Rays are 54-52 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series win against Cincinnati, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Rays won two out of three against the Blue Jays, split four games with the Yankees, and won two out of three against the Guardians. Tampa Bay is 9-5 in their last 14 games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 421 runs with a .234 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .270 with nine home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Rays this season. Tampa Bay has allowed three runs or fewer in four straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 1-3 with a 7.04 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 38.1 innings pitched this year. Cabrera has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Jeffrey Springs, who is making his first start of the season. 

Why the Rays will beat the Marlins 

• The Rays have won each of their last 10 Tuesday games against the Marlins.
• The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight games at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have covered the run line each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games following a road loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins' last eight games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rays' last six games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last five road games against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in five of his last six Tuesday appearances.
• Josh Lowe has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Siri has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Rays' last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more hits in each of his last nine Tuesday night appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in each of his 10 previous Tuesday night appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Rays' last eight night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Josh Bell has hit a home run in four of the Marlins' last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins' last five games.
• Josh Bell has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins' last five night games.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Marlins' last 10 road games.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Gordon has scored a run in each of his last five appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Tampa Bay comes into this series playing very well, but they are still fourth in the AL East and three games out of a wild card spot. The Rays are 29-28 at home this year, while the Marlins are 17-33 on the road. Miami is playing some of their best baseball of the season right now and their offense is scoring a ton of runs over the last week. The Marlins will look to continue their momentum here, but they are starting Edward Cabrera, who has been pretty bad this season. I know Springs is seeing his first action of the season, but I have to fade the Marlins on the road. My Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction is for the Rays to win and cover the run line.