Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 7/28/24

Pick details

Toronto Blue Jays (47-56) vs Texas Rangers (51-53)

July 28, 2024 at 01:37 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -112 / Texas Rangers -105 — Over/Under: 8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Rangers and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Texas Rangers recent form and player performance

The Toronto Blue Jays recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Rangers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Toronto Blue Jays

Recent betting trends in games played between the Rangers and Blue Jays

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Rangers vs Blue Jays game

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

This week the Rangers took on the Chicago White Sox. Texas was able to bag a sweep in that one with four straight wins. After a 6-5 loss to the Jays in the opener, on Saturday in game two the Rangers fell in a 7-3 result.

In the starter role for Sunday the Rangers will send out Jon Gray. This year Gray is 5-4 with a 3.73 ERA in 20 games (17 starts). Gray is 74-68 with a 4.40 career ERA in 225 games (221 starts).

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

Over on the Blue Jays’ side, they played the Tampa Bay Rays in their last set. Toronto won 6-3 Wednesday but dropped the other pair in that set. On Saturday the Jays out-hit the Rangers 15-4 in the win.

As starter for Sunday the Jays will go with Jose Berrios. This year Berrios is 8-8 with a 4.08 ERA in 21 starts. Berrios is 91-74 with a 4.14 ERA in 233 career games (232 starts).

Rangers vs Blue Jays Pick Injury Notes

Blue Jays 3B Isiah Kiner-Falefa (knee) began a rehab assignment on Saturday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Rangers’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five home games against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four road games against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine games at Rogers Centre against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances at Rogers Centre.
  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Rangers.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances at Rogers Centre.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his 12 previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances at Rogers Centre against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Justin Turner has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games at Rogers Centre against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers’ last seven day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one total base in each of his 17 previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 road appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Jonah Heim has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against the Blue Jays.
  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his 17 previous appearances against the Blue Jays after playing the previous day.
  • Jon Gray has recorded seven strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as road favorites.
  • Jon Gray has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as favorites.

Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

I’ll stay with the Rangers. Gray has been pretty solid lately. Over his last three outings combined Gray is 2-0 with four earned in 13.2 innings total. As for Berrios, he’s struggled over his last few starts, posting 12 earned runs in 14.2 innings for an 0-2 record.

On Saturday the Rangers gave up four runs in the first inning and couldn’t get much going offensively. The good news is that Texas only used three pitchers. They’ll need a much better all-around effort in Sunday’s finale regardless.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Texas Rangers -125

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