Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB Picks 7/28/24

Detroit Tigers (51-54) vs Minnesota Twins (57-45)

Game Info: Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 1:40 pm (Comerica Park)

() () vs Bailey Ober (9-5) (4.04)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +149 / Minnesota Twins -179 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 57-46 on the year and play the Mets and White Sox next. The Minnesota Twins have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 3 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 95 hits and 34 RBI, while Carlos Correa and Jose Miranda have combined for 170 hits and 90 RBI.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 52-54 on the year and play the Guardians and Royals next. The Detroit Tigers have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Detroit Tigers have won 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 98 hits and 51 RBI, while Matt Vierling and Colt Keith have combined for 171 hits and 83 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Pick Matchup

Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 9-5 with a 4.04 ERA and 110 strikeouts this season. Ober has allowed 15 hits and 6 earned runs in his last 19 innings. Ober has a 4.67 ERA and .222 allowed batting average in 61.2 road innings. Ober is 3-2 with a 3.91 ERA and 56 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.

Alex Faedo gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 5-1 with a 3.47 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Faedo has allowed 12 hits and 5 runs in his last 13 innings. Faedo has a 3.86 ERA and .227 allowed batting average in 21 home innings. Faedo is 0-0 with a 2.84 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Detroit Tigers will Beat the Twins

The Tigers have won each of their last nine Sunday games against AL Central opponents.
The Twins have lost four of their last five games at Comerica Park against teams that held a losing record.
The Tigers have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Comerica Park against teams that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Matt Vierling has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances at Comerica Park against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Javier Baez has hit a home run in each of the Tigers' last three games against the Twins at Comerica Park.
Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in three of the Tigers' last four games at Comerica Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers' last four home games against the Twins.
Carson Kelly has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents at Comerica Park.
Matt Vierling has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances at Comerica Park against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances at Comerica Park against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Bailey Ober has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Christian Vazquez has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Tigers.
Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 15 appearances.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Bailey Ober has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

The Minnesota Twins are the better team and have the more reliable pitcher on the mound in Bailey Ober. Alex Faedo has made a ton of appearances this month, and I'm not a fan of openers due to the amount of arms you usually have to rely on. However, the Tigers have done just enough winning to remain worth a look in the betting market, and this line is a bit steep. Quick turnaround and at home, I have to lean toward the Tigers as they stay close to a .500 record.