New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 7/27/24

Pick details

Boston Red Sox (54-47) vs New York Yankees (60-44)

Game Info: Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 7:15 pm (Fenway Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -109 / New York Yankees -109 — Over/Under: 9.5

(Get latest betting odds)


The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox square off Friday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Marcus Stroman for the start and Stroman is 7-5 with a 3.51 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Red Sox, Stroman is 3-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 19 strikeouts. Kutter Crawford will start for the Red Sox and is 6-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Crawford is 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 30 strikeouts.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees will try to bounce back after starting the set on Friday with a 9-7 loss at the hands of the BoSox. The loss wasn’t ideal for a Yankees team that’s been looking to string together consistent results and have taken a series sweep at the hands of the Mets to start the week as well as settling for a four-game split with the Rays last weekend.

Yankees Trying To Hold On In AL Playoff Races

Going into Friday, Juan Soto has 114 hits along with 20 doubles and 26 home runs with 72 RBIs to go along with a .311 batting average and .435 OBP. Aaron Judge has a team-high 35 home runs and 89 RBIs of his own along with a team-leading 24 doubles while also posting 111 strikeouts so far this season. Anthony Volpe’s added 107 hits with 7 home runs, 7 triples, 36 RBIs and a team-high 17 stolen bases as well this season. Alex Verdugo has 20 doubles and 47 RBIs and Giancarlo Stanton also has 18 home runs, 45 RBIs and 90 strikeouts this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won each of their last five games against American League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Red Sox have lost six of their last seven home games against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a road loss.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox will be looking to keep the ball rolling after rallying for the win in Friday’s series opener, putting Boston in a great spot to bounce back from a rough West Coast road trip last week with series losses to the Dodgers and Rockies.

Red Sox Trying To Climb AL Playoff Ladder

Entering Friday, Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 124 hits along with 22 stolen bases, 30 doubles, 10 triples and 101 strikeouts and also has 51 RBIs so far this season. Wilyer Abreu has 21 doubles and Ceddanne Rafaela also has 53 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 98 hits with 22 doubles, 23 home runs, 63 RBIs and a .293 batting average this season. Tyler O’Neill also has 20 home runs and 38 RBIs as well while David Hamilton has a team-high 25 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have lost 10 of their last 12 games as road favorites.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games as road favorites.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction

I’m on the Red Sox. The Yankees just look off right now and outside of Judge and Soto, the rest of the lineup has continued to be inconsistent and Friday was just a prime example of another thing going wrong for the Yankees. Boston has had a history of playing New York tough to begin with and I don’t see that changing here. Give me Boston.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Boston -109

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