Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB Picks 7/27/24

Tigers Looking to Regain Magic

The Detroit Tigers are 51-54 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Detroit dropped the first game in this series on Friday and they allowed nine runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Tigers split four games with the Guardians, won two out of three against the Blue Jays, and won two out of three against the Dodgers. Detroit is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they fourth in the AL Central. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 448 runs with a .233 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Colt Keith is batting .256 with 10 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored three runs or fewer in three straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 6-6 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 120.2 innings pitched this year. Ryan has allowed three earned runs or more in three straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 11-3 with a 2.34 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 123.0 innings pitched this season. Skubal has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Twins

• The Tigers have won each of their last six home games following a loss.
• The Twins have lost four of their last five night games against the Tigers at Comerica Park following a road win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games at Comerica Park following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins' last five night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the last four games between the Twins and Tigers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last seven games at Comerica Park.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last three games as road underdogs.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Javier Baez has hit a home run in each of the Tigers' last two games against the Twins at Comerica Park.
• Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in four of the Tigers' last five games at Comerica Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances at Comerica Park.
• Matt Vierling has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the Tigers as favorites against AL opponents.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances at Comerica Park.
• Matt Vierling has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Comerica Park against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Carson Kelly has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents at Comerica Park.
• Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one total base in 14 of his last 15 appearances against the Twins.
• Carson Kelly has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents at Comerica Park.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against the Tigers.
• Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
• Carlos Correa has recorded two RBIs in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances.
• Christian Vazquez has hit a home run in each of the Twins' last two road games against the Tigers.

Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this series playing very well over the last few weeks and they are just a few games behind Cleveland for first in the AL Central. The Twins are 28-24 on the road, while the Tigers are 24-25 at home. Detroit was playing some of their best baseball of the season, but they have had some issues recently. Luckily for the Tigers, they will have Tarik Skubal on the mound, who has been one of the best pitchers in the AL This year. Joe Ryan will be starting for Minnesota and he has been above average this year, but I don’t think he can out pitch Skubal. My Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers prediction is for the Tigers to win.