Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 7/27/24

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Tampa Bay Rays (52-51) vs Cincinnati Reds (49-53)

July 27, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays -115 / Cincinnati Reds -102 — Over/Under: 7

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 27th at Tropicana Field.  To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Reds recent form and recent player performance 

-The Rays recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay

-Recent betting trends in games played between Cincinnati vs Tampa Bay

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Reds and Rays. 

Reds Pulled It Out Late

The Reds scored three runs including one in the 10th inning and that was enough for the victory. Nick Lodolo did have a strong game going 6.2 innings and giving up only one run. The Reds are averaging 4.47 runs per game, while their pitching is giving up 4.088 runs per game. The offense is ranked 14th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 9th. They have a run differential of 0.38, which is 11th in the league. Spencer Steer has hit 15 home runs and driven in 64 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Reds will be Andrew Abbott who sits with a 9-6 record and an ERA of 3.19. In his last start against the Washington Nationals, he went 6.2 innings, giving up six hits and two runs. 

Why the Reds Will Beat the Rays 

  • The Reds have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Rays have lost four of their last six games as favorites.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents following an extra innings loss.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Saturday games against opponents that held a losing record.

Rays Look to be Sellers

The Rays traded away Randy Arozarena yesterday, and it looks like they are going to be big sellers during the trade deadline. After another loss on Friday, it looks like that could be the right decision. The Rays are averaging 4.01 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.53 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 20th. Isaac Parades has hit 16 home runs and driven in 55 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Rays will be Zack Littell who sits with a 3-7 record and an ERA of 4.46. In his last start against the New York Yankees, he went 5.2 innings, giving up nine hits and five runs. 

Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Reds are going to find success here. Abbott sits with an ERA of 3.19 and in his last start he gave up two runs. Littell hasn’t gotten a ton of run support this season, and in his last start he gave up five runs. The Reds’ offense is going to have no issue running up the score against Littell, and that will be the difference here as Cincinnati is going to get the job done. Back the Reds on the money line. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Reds ML

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