Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 7/26/24

The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets square off Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out Charlie Morton and Morton is 5-5 with a 3.92 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Morton is 3-0 with a 2.76 ERA and 31 strikeouts. Kodai Senga will make his season debut for the Mets here and was 12-7 with a 2.98 ERA last season. This will be Senga’s second career start against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this one looking to bounce back after starting the series with a 3-2 loss in extra innings to the Mets on Thursday, putting the Braves behind the 8-ball early as they’re looking for their first series win since the all-star break after series losses to the Cardinals and Reds.

Braves Trying To Catch Phillies Atop NL East

Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 114 hits including 28 home runs and 80 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 18 doubles and Ozzie Albies has a team-high 28 doubles, logging 93 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 44 RBIs with a team-high 114 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 22 doubles with a pair of triples.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Braves’ last four games.
• The Mets have lost three of their last four games as favorites following an extra innings win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Braves have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games following an extra innings loss.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this one looking to build some momentum after their series-opening win over the Braves, trying to keep the momentum going after sweeping the Subway Series against the New York Yankees earlier this week.

Mets Looking To Crash Wild Card Race

Starling Marte has 68 hits and a .278 batting average while Pete Alonso has 20 home runs and 63 RBIs with 23 doubles as well. Francisco Lindor has 27 doubles of his own with 22 home runs and 62 RBIs along with 20 stolen bases while Marte also has 12 stolen bases. Brandon Nimmo has a team-high 63 RBIs and 110 strikeouts while Lindor has a team-high 107 hits as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last eight night games at Citi Field following a win.
• The Braves have lost each of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games.

Braves vs. Mets Prediction

I’m on the Braves here. I think Atlanta probably wins the opener had it not been for that horrendous baserunning in the later stages of Thursday’s loss and this is a Braves team that had a bunch of chances late but couldn’t cash in. I think the lineups cancel out, and I can’t imagine Senga having a heavy workload in his season debut, which could mean an extended outing for this brutal Mets bullpen. All in all, I think the Braves exact some revenge here so give me Atlanta.