Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 7/25/24

Marlins Continue to Produce Offensively 

The Miami Marlins are 37-65 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Miami has won the first two games in this series by a score of 6-3 in each game. Prior to this series, the Marlins split four games with the Mets, lost two out of three against the Reds, and lost all three against the Astros. Miami is 5-2 in their last seven games, but they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 362 runs with a .236 batting average and a .288 on base percentage. Bryan De La Cruz is batting .240 with 17 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami has scored at least four runs in four straight games. The Marlins will take on the Brewers, Rays, and Braves after this series.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 10-4 with a 2.38 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 124.2 innings pitched this year. Burnes has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Roddery Munoz, who is 1-5 with a 5.14 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 56.0 innings pitched this season. Munoz has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings, but three of those outings were five innings or fewer. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost five of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have won four of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in nine of the Orioles' last 12 games.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four day games against American League opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins' last seven home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Orioles' last eight games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last three day games at LoanDepot Park.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last three day games against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of the Marlins' last six games at LoanDepot Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Marlins' last six home games against AL East opponents.
• Josh Bell has scored a run in five of his last six home appearances against the Orioles.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Marlins' last eight day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against the Orioles.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last seven home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Santander has hit a home run in each of the Orioles' last two day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Orioles' last four day games.
• Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles' last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Corbin Burnes has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Marlins.
• James McCann has recorded at least one total base in each of his seven previous appearances with the Orioles as favorites against NL East opponents.
• James McCann has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Prediction 

Miami comes into this game with one of the worst records in the MLB this season, but they will be full of confidence after winning the first two games in this series. The Marlins offense is the second lowest scoring unit in baseball, but they have shown some life over the last few days. Miami is 22-33 at home, while Baltimore is 30-19 on the road. The Orioles have played poorly over the last three weeks, but they are lucky that the Yankees are also struggling right now. The O’s will have Burnes on the mound in this game, who should have no issues out dueling Munoz. My Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins prediction is for the Orioles to win by at least three runs.