Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 7/24/24

Blue Jays Trying to Avoid Another Series Loss 

The Toronto Blue Jays are 45-55 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Toronto dropped the first game in this series and they only managed two runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Tigers, lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, and won two out of three against the Giants. Toronto is 2-5 in their last seven games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 404 runs with a .236 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .293 with 17 home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has allowed at least four runs in seven straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zach Eflin, who is 5-7 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 104.1 innings pitched this year. Eflin has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Yariel Rodriguez, who is 1-3 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 33.1 innings pitched this season. Rodriguez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Rays

• The Rays have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have won three of the Rays' last four games.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Blue Jays' last 11 games as underdogs against the Rays have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rays' last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last four games as favorites.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four games between the Rays and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays' last five home games against AL East opponents.
• Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last 13 games against AL East opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Rays' last two night games.
• Josh Lowe has scored at least one run in each of the Rays' last four games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• Zach Eflin has recorded four or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances with the Rays as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays' last 11 games as favorites.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Rays as favorites against the Blue Jays.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven road appearances against the Blue Jays.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

Tampa Bay has made it back over the .500 mark on the season and they have played well over the last two weeks. The Rays are 24-23 on the road, while the Blue Jays are 22-27 at home. Toronto is dealing with some injuries, but they have been a huge disappointment this season. The Blue Jays will look to Rodriguez in this game, but he has been pretty inconsistent in limited action. The Rays are going with Eflin, who has an ERA over four and has had some struggles recently. I really don’t like how this Blue Jays team is playing, but I also don’t like what I have seen from Eflin. I think the Jays can do some damage here, so my Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for Toronto to get the win.