Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 7/23/24

Guardians Look to Avoid Fourth Straight Loss 

The Cleveland Guardians are 59-40 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Cleveland dropped the first game in this series on Monday and they allowed eight runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Guardians lost two out of three against the Padres, lost two out of three against the Rays, and lost three out of four against the Tigers. Cleveland is 2-7 in their last nine games and they are leading the AL Central by four games over the Twins and Royals. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 464 runs with a .242 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Josh Naylor is batting .239 with 22 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has scored two runs or fewer in six of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit has not been announced yet. The Tigers are dealing with injuries to Olson, Mize, and Manning, so they may look at starting Maeda or going with a bullpen game. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Xzavion Curry, who is 0-2 with a 5.19 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 17.1 innings pitched this year. Curry has only made two appearances for the Guardians since late May, allowing two earned runs and four hits over 4.2 innings of relief work. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Guardians

• The Tigers have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last 10 games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Guardians.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers' last nine road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Guardians' last five home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last five home games against AL Central opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last four games against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Josh Naylor has hit at least one home run in three of the Guardians' last four Tuesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians' last five games at Progressive Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians' last six games at Progressive Field against opponents that held a losing record.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians' last 10 Tuesday games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians' last 10 Tuesday night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in each of his last six Tuesday night appearances.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Matt Vierling has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances with the Tigers as underdogs.
• Matt Vierling has scored a run in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
• Matt Vierling has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances.
• Andy Ibanez has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against the Guardians.
• Carson Kelly has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Riley Greene has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Matt Vierling has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Tigers as underdogs.

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Detroit was able to continue their strong play with a win in game one of this series on Monday night and they will look for another win here. The Tigers are one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now, while Cleveland is trending in the wrong direction. Cleveland is 31-14 at home this season, while Detroit is 26-27 on the road. The Tigers are dealing with quite a few injuries to their pitching staff, but their offense has come to life in recent weeks. We don’t know who the starting pitcher will be for Detroit, but their offense should have another solid day against Curry, who is a below average pitcher. My Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Tigers to get the win.